NFL Week 7 Top Bets on the Total Line

Through the first six weeks of the NFL regular season, the winning rate for betting the UNDER on the total line is 55.4%. Last Sunday, the first six games on the slate stayed UNDER the closing total line. The results of the next six games produced a pair of PUSHES with four games going OVER.

For the first time this season, I was under .500 with my Top 5 total line picks for the popular sports betting site ScoresandStats.com at 2-3. That dropped my year to date record making these picks to 18-12. 

Looking to get back to my winning ways in Week 7, I have posted a brief preview of this Sunday's five picks courtesy of ScoresandStats.com.

Sunday, Oct. 24

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: UNDER 47.5

The Bengals have been one of the bigger surprises this season at 4-2 straight-up. They have also been a solid bet on the total line with five of the six games staying UNDER the closing line. Baltimore is 5-1 SU with an  even 3-3 mark on the total line.

The total has stayed UNDER in five of Cincinnati’s last six games on the road. It has also stayed UNDER in seven of Baltimore’s last 10 games overall. Defense should one again keep the scoring by both teams lower than expected in Sunday’s meeting.

New York Jets at New England Patriots: UNDER 42.5

The Jets are coming off their bye week with a 1-4 SU record in their first five games. The total has stayed UNDER in three of those five matchups behind an offense that is averaging 13.4 points per game. New England is coming off a tough overtime loss to Dallas to slip to 2-4 SU.

Look for another low-scoring battle on Sunday in this AFC East clash. New England should be able to keep the Jets’ offense close to its season scoring average. The total has stayed UNDER in six of New York’s last nine games.

Carolina Panthers at New York Giants: OVER 44

Carolina’s fast 3-0 start has faded into a .500 record SU at 3-3. The Giants have only managed to score a combined 31 points in their last two games as part of a SU 1-5 start. However, they have given up 82 points combined in losses to Dallas and the Los Angeles Rams.

With each team’s defense struggling right now, points may be easier to come by on Sunday. The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings between these NFC foes. It has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in New York.

Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams: OVER 50

The Lions are still looking for their first SU win of the year following more than a few tough losses. The Rams are on a roll at 5-1 coming off double-digit margins of victory in two of their last three SU wins. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in five of those first six games.

The total has now gone OVER in six of the Rams’ last eight games. With the offense playing at a high level, they could score close to 50 points on their own against Detroit. The big storyline in this game is LA quarterback Matthew Stafford playing against his old team.

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OVER 48

Chicago came up short against Green Bay last Sunday in a 24-14 loss as a 5.5-point home underdog. Tampa Bay started Week 6 off with a 28-22 win on the road against Philadelphia as a seven-point favorite. The Buccaneers have scored at least 24 points in five of their first six games.

The Bears’ defense will struggle to keep Tampa Bay out of the end zone this Sunday as road underdogs. The total has gone OVER in four of the Buccaneers’ first six games this year. It has gone OVER in four of Tampa Bay’s last five games against a NFC team.