As the NFL season hits the midway point, wins and losses become much more pronounced when it comes to the playoff race. It is obvious that both teams in New York are battling it out for the top pick in next year's draft but half of the league's 32 teams have a winning record heading into Sunday's games.
One game that stands out from all the rest is Sunday night's NFC South showdown between the 5-2 New Orleans Saints and the 6-2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Most of the pressure in this game is on Tampa Bay after losing its season opener to New Orleans in Week 1. The Buccaneers are favored by 4 1/2 poinst at home with the total line set at 50 1/2-points.
The current betting consensus is leaning slightly towards Tampa Bay at 55 percent. The lean on the total is trending towards the OVER at 64.5 percent.
In a matchup this close with so much on the line in the division title race, my lean is towards the Saints with the extra half point in their favor. With two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks under center, I would also lean towards the OVER on the total line.
In the first matchup this season, New Orleans put up 34 points in the 11-point win. The Saints closed as four-point home favorites with a 48-point total.
Over the last five meetings between these two division rivals, New Orleans has won four of those games both straight-up and against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Each week of the NFL season, I release my Top 10 picks for Scores & Stats as a top-rated sports betting site. Coming off a 7-3 record last week, my winning rate for the season is close to 60 percent.
You can get all of this week's picks at Dave's Top 10 NFL Picks
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