Saturday, December 26, 2020

Eagles at Cowboys Betting Odds & Pick

 Both Eagles and Cowboys' fans had this game circled on the calendar before this season got underway. The two bitter division rivals have combined to win the past four NFC East titles. 

Dallas was the clear favorite to win the division crown in 2020 followed by Philadelphia. Washington and New York were afterthoughts at much longer betting odds. Fast forward four months later and the entire NFC East is an afterthought this season with a combined record of 20-35-1.

The Football Team in Washington sits at the top of the division standings at 6-8 with two games to play. The Eagles are bringing up the rear at 4-9-1 with all four teams still in contention for the NFC East title and an automatic playoff berth.

Washington can seal its fate as the division champ this Sunday with a win against Carolina as a one-point home favorite. Should they lose, the winner of Sunday's Eagles at Cowboys' game would keep their title hopes alive. New York is also in the race at 5-9.

Philadelphia is currently a 2 1/2-point road favorite over Dallas with the betting line for the total set at 49 1/2 points. Jalen Hurts will remain the starting quarterback for the Eagles after giving the team a rare spark over the past three games. 

Even though the team is 1-2 with Hurts under center, the offense has averaged 22 points a game. Carson Wentz was pulled from the lineup due to his poor play after the offense failed to cross the 17-point threshold three games in a row.

The Cowboys have won their last two games with the return of Andy Dalton at quarterback. He has been filling in for the injured Dak Prescott for most of the season.

Either of these teams would probably benefit more from a loss in terms of a more favorable position for next year's draft. Finishing last would also secure a more advantageous last-place schedule for the 2021 season.

Yet, it just seems fitting that the winner would go on to win the division title while Washington and New York Giants live up to those initial expectations by continuing to falter down the stretch. 

Philly won the first meeting this season with a sloppy 23-9 victory at home. The Cowboys still have the 4-2 edge both straight-up and against the spread in the last six games between the two bitter rivals.

As part of my weekly NFL picks for the popular sports betting site Scores and Stats, I took the Eagles at the opening -1 1/2-point spread. I am still betting that way with renewed confidence that Hurts can lead them to their biggest win of the year.

Philadelphia thrives on controversy and Wentz has gotten off rather easy despite his horrendous play this year. If Hurts can find a way to squeeze this team into the playoffs ala Nick Foles style, it all but guarantees a colorful offseason in the City of Brotherly Love.

For all of this Sunday's top NFL plays, please click through to: Dave's Top 10 Best Bets for NFL Week 16.

Saturday, December 19, 2020

Betting the Best Value in NFL Super Bowl LV Futures

 With three weeks left in the NFL regular season, the playoff picture in both the AFC and NFC is starting to become a bit clearer. The 12-1 Kansas City Chiefs and the 11-2 Pittsburgh Steelers have clinched a playoff berth in the AFC while the Green Bay Packers and the New Orleans Saints are headed to the postseason from the NFC at 10-3.

Nothing against the rest of the NFL, the odds remain high that one of those four teams will go on to win Super Bowl LV scheduled for Feb. 7 in Tampa Bay. The NFL futures odds at BetOnline.ag paint the same exact picture.

The Chiefs are +185 favorites to repeat as Super Bowl Champions. Green Bay is next on that list at +650 odds followed by New Orleans as a +750 third-favorite.

The Steelers have lost their last two games following an 11-0 run. They have also lost some ground on the betting board at +1200 odds along with the Buffalo Bills. The 9-4 Los Angeles Rams have caught bettor's attention as +1000 fourth favorites. Tampa Bay (+1200), Seattle (+1400) and Baltimore (+1600) round out the nine-team list of top contenders.

The Tennessee Titans are battling the Indianapolis Colts for the AFC South Division title. Each of those teams is 9-4 heading into Week 15. The Titans are set as -175 favorites over the Colts at +145 odds to end the season as division champs.

As far as Tennessee's odds to win the Super Bowl, it follows Baltimore on the futures list at much longer +2800 betting odds.

As far as the best value in BetOnline.ag's Super Bowl futures, betting Kansas City at plus money (+185) makes the most sense. 

If you are looking to stretch the value in the odds, New Orleans would be my top play. The Saints get Drew Brees back at quarterback for this Sunday's big showdown against Kansas City. If they should win that game as three-point home underdogs, those +750 odds will most likely come down quite a bit.

As far as my Top 10 NFL picks for Scores & Stats covering this Sunday's NFL games, here is a link to the highly popular sports betting site: Dave's Top 10 Best Bets for NFL Week 15


Saturday, December 12, 2020

NFL Week 14 "Play of the Day"

 It is crunch time in the NFL as teams continue to battle for a spot in the annual Super Bowl Derby. Teams such as New Orleans in the NFC and Kansas City in the AFC are jockeying for position while teams like Arizona and Miami are still trying to land a berth in the postseason.

This Sunday's NFL schedule is filled with a number of intriguing matchups headlined by a night game between the 11-1 Pittsburgh Steelers and the 9-3 Buffalo Bills. The Steelers are coming off their first loss of the season while the Bills are trying to win their first AFC East Division title since 1995.

When it comes to betting on Sunday's NFL games, the 6-6 Minnesota Vikings on the road against the 7-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers caught my eye. They are two more teams fighting for their playoff life in the NFC. They are also two of the higher scoring teams in the NFL.

The Vikings are averaging 26.6 points per game while Tampa Bay is posting 28.7. Neither defense has been able to play with any level of consistency. Minnesota is allowing 27.4 points to Tampa Bay's 23.3 points-against average.

The total line for this game opened at as low as 47 1/2 points and it has been bet all the way up to 53. I still do not think the number is high enough for Sunday's showdown. 

The total has gone OVER in five of the Vikings' last seven games and it has gone OVER in eight of the Buccaneers' last 12 games at home.

Each and every week of the NFL season I release my 10 best NFL plays for the popular sports betting website Scores & Stats. For this week's picks, here is the link: Dave's Top 10 NFL Plays- Week 14

Saturday, December 5, 2020

NFL Week 13 Key Betting Trends

 Going through the lineup of games for Week 13 of the NFL season, nothing jumps off the page as 'must see' TV. There are plenty of teams that need to win this week to boost their postseason fortunes but eight of the 15 games are expected to be mismatches with a touchdown spread or higher.

That does not mean that there is no value to be found on the betting board. When it comes to recent betting trends that should not be ignored, here are a few that stand out from the rest.

-- Indianapolis (-3) at Houston

The Colts are 7-0-1 against the spread in their last eight road games against the Texans in this AFC South tilt.

-- New Orleans (-2 1/2) at Atlanta

The Saints have won five of their last six games against the NFC South rival Falcons both straight-up and ATS.

-- Detroit at Chicago (44 1/2)

The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings in this NFC North clash in Chicago.

-- LA Rams (-3) at Arizona

The Rams have covered ATS in their last five road games against Arizona and they are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two NFC West rivals.

-- Denver at Kansas City (-13 1/2)

The Chiefs bring a SU 10-game winning streak into Sunday's matchup against the AFC West rival Broncos. Kansas City has gone 9-1 ATS in those 10 games.

Each and every week of the NFL season I release my Top 10 'best bets' for the popular sports betting site Scores & Stats. Here is the link to this week's picks: Dave's Top 10 NFL Picks Week 13.


Saturday, November 21, 2020

Chiefs vs. Raiders Rematch 'Best Bet' Play

 The defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs have picked up where they left off with a straight-up 8-1 record through their first nine games. Patrick Mahomes is playing at a MVP level with the offense averaging 32 points a game. Kansas City has eclipsed that total in three of its last four games.

The lone loss of the season came against the AFC West rival Las Vegas Raiders. In a wild shootout in Kansas City on Oct. 11, the Raiders came away with the stunning 40-32 upset closing as 10 1/2-point road underdogs.

This Sunday night in Las Vegas, the Chiefs are favored by seven points with the total set at 57 points for the rematch. The general betting consensus leans towards Kansas City at 64 percent. It also leans towards the OVER at that exact same percentage.

I normally look for games to go against the public due to the added value in the betting lines. However, I think the Chiefs are out to avenge that first loss in a big way. They survived a close call last Sunday with a two-point win at home against Carolina as 10-point favorites. Prior to that game, Kansas City covered against the spread in lopsided victories against Buffalo, Denver and the New York Jets.

The Raiders are playing their best ball of the year with a 4-1 record both SU and ATS over their past five games. A win on Sunday would keep the AFC West title race interesting heading into the final six games of the season. This is another offense that knows how to put points on the board. Las Vegas has posted a combined 68 points in its last two outings.

From a trend standpoint, Kansas City is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against the Raiders and it has won five of the last six meetings SU. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 matchups.

While I do have the Chiefs covering the touchdown on the road, my 'best bet' play is the OVER on the inflated 57-point total line.

 Each week of the NFL season, I release my Top 10 'best bets' for the popular sports betting site Scores & Stats. Here is the link to this Sunday's list: Dave's Top 10 NFL Picks for Week 11

Saturday, November 14, 2020

Betting on a Battle for First in The NFC West

 Through the first five weeks of the NFL season, the Seattle Seahawks were able to establish themselves as the clear team to beat in the NFC West. They were also one of the top favorites to represent their conference in Super Bowl LV.

A loss to the Arizona Cardinals on Oct. 25 and last Sunday's slip-up on the road against the Buffalo Bills have raised more than a few question marks for the Seahawks heading into the second half. 

They are still solid -225 favorites to win the West. However, at 6-2 straight-up, a loss this Sunday on the road against the 5-3 Los Angeles Rams could lead to a three-way tie in the division standings. 

Arizona is also 5-3 heading into a Week 10 matchup against the Bills. The Cardinals are favored by 2 1/2 points at home.

The Seahawks are set as two-point road underdogs against the rival Rams. This will be the first meeting this season with the showdown in Seattle set for Week 16. Over the past 10 games in this divisional tilt, Los Angeles has won seven of those games SU with a slight 6-4 edge against the spread. It has a 2-1 record SU and ATS in the last three meetings.

The Rams have also lost two of their last three games (SU and ATS) with road setbacks against San Francisco and Miami wrapped around a win at home against the Chicago Bears. LA is a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS at home this season.

The current betting consensus is split 50/50 betting this matchup. I give the slight lean to Los Angeles at home. I also see the Cardinals getting past the Bills to set-up that three-way logjam in the NFC West standings.

My best bet for Sunday's game in LA is the UNDER on a 54 1/2-point total line. While the Oddsmakers are looking for a shootout, I have the final score coming lower than this inflated line. The total has stayed UNDER in the Rams' last five games and that trend gets extended to six once this game has gone final.

Each week of the NFL season, I release my Top 10 picks for the popular sports betting site Scores & Stats. For this week's pick go to: Dave's Top 10 Best Bet for NFL Week 10



Thursday, November 12, 2020

Can No. 2 Notre Dame Avoid a Week 11 Letdown Against Boston College?

 The ACC's Clemson Tigers' run as the consensus top college football team in the nation came to an end with a recent loss to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. The shake-up in the national polls dropped Clemson to No. 4 in the AP's Top 25 while the Irish filled the No. 2 spot behind the SEC's Alabama Crimson Tide as the new No. 1-ranked team.

Notre Dame closed as a 4 1/2-point home underdog in last Saturday's wild 47-40 victory. This Saturday, the Irish head on the road as 13 1/2-point favorites against the Boston College Eagles. The betting total for that game is currently set at 50 points. 

At 7-0 straight-up with a 3-4 record against the spread, this could be a good spot to go against Notre Dame covering. There is always a chance of a letdown coming off such a huge upset. Boston College has gone a respectable 5-3 both SU and ATS behind one its best teams in recent seasons.

Betting trends in this traditional Catholic college rivalry favor the Irish with a SU seven-game winning streak. The Eagles gain the slight edge ATS at 4-3. 

While I do believe that BC can keep this game closer than two touchdowns, I have focused much of my energy on the total line. It has stayed UNDER in eight of the last nine meetings but I am bucking those strong trends with a play on the OVER 50 points.

Notre Dame has crossed the 40-point mark in four of its last six games with the total going OVER each time. The Eagles scored 28 points against Clemson in a recent eight-point loss. They should be able to score more than enough points at home this Saturday to easily eclipse the current betting line.

Each week of the college football season I release my Top 10 plays for the popular sports betting site Scores & Stats. Here is the link for this Saturday's games: Dave's Top 10 NCAAF Best Bets.