NFL Thursday Night Football Week 10 - Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers

Week 10 in the NFL regular season begins with a NFC South matchup between the Atlanta Falcons against the Carolina Panthers. The Falcons are three-point favorites on the road and the total line is OVER/UNDER 43.5 points.

At 4-5, Atlanta is tied for first place with Tampa Bay in the division and the Panthers are last at 2-7. However, the only team that is making the postseason is winning the NFC South. The Falcons are 1-3 SU on the road and Carolina is 2-3 SU at home. 

Atlanta moves the ball forward by rushing at a 158.13 yards a game but the offense cannot pass the ball, averaged 162.63 yards a contest. The Falcons' defense is ranked last in yards allowed. Carolina has put up 179 points on the scoreboard in a total of nine games which relates to 19.75 points per game. The Panthers' defense has allowed an avegade of 25.1 points a game. 

Bad offense and a worse defense are one thing they have in common but Atlanta could get the better of the two teams on Thursday night. Carolina lost to the Falcons 37-34 just two weeks ago as a four-point road underdog. The Panthers were doubled-up by Cincinnati on the road 42-21 in Week 9.

My best bet in Week 10 of Thursday night would be Atlanta straight-up on the money line. The -158 odds at FanDuel are not that bad when giving up the points in the spread. 

FanDuel Remains the Top Legal US Sportsbook in New York

 FanDuel Sportsbook has risen to become the most recognized legal US sports betting operation in the country. The company leads by a lion's share over the main competitor in the US. Parent company Flutter Entertainment recently announced that FanDuel has tallied up 51% of  the sports betting market in the country, up from 40% in the end of 2021.

FanDuel has led the charge in New York with total sports betting volume and gross gaming revenue (GGR) since early January in this year. The New York City-company has $12.97 billion in total handle and $1.06 billion in GGR in the state over the 10 months. FanDuel has claimed 47% of the sports betting market in New York.

The nearest competitor in New York is DraftKings at 25% of market share. Caesars is third at 17.3. The other six legal online US sportsbooks in the state are BetMGM, BetRivers, PointsBet, WynnBET, Resorts World and Bally Bet.

Doc's Sports Service features an article entitled "The Top Online US Sportsbook in New York Remains FanDuel 

Picking the CFL Division Semifinals

 The second and third place teams in each CFL division square off in the semifinals this Sunday. In the East Division at 1 p.m. (ET), the Hamilton Tiger-Cats are three-point road underdogs against the Montreal Alouettes. The total line is 48.5 points and the money line odds are +130 for Hamilton and -150 for Montreal.

At 4:30 p.m. in BC, the Calgary Stampeders on the road against the Lions. The point spread is three points favoring BC and the total line is 50.5 points. The money line odds are +115 for the Stampeders and -135 for the Lions.

Vegas Insider odds and picks for the CFL division semifinals can be found at CFL Weekly Picks, Predictions and Odds  

My Trifecta for the Breeders' Cup Classic at Keeneland

 

Saturday, Nov. 5

Breeders’ Cup Classic – Keeneland Race Course

Win: Flightline

Starting at post No. 4, the four-year colt has veteran jockey Flavien Prat to show him the way. Trained by John Sadler, Flightline has five victories in five races under his belt. The Grade 1 Pacific Classic was his most recent win. He covered 1 ¼ miles on dirt in 1:59.28 over Country Grammer and Royal Ship.

As a son of Tapit, he won coast-to-coast races this season. Starting in the Grade 1 Metropolitan Stakes at Belmont Park in New York, Flightline raced at Del Mar in the West Coast’s Pacific Classic on Sept. 3. In winning the BC Classic, he should be three-for-three in all time zones.

Place: Life Is Good

Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by jockey Irad Ortiz Jr, Life Is Good started off this four-year campaign by taking first place in Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream. More recently, he won the Grade 1 Woodward Stakes at Aqueduct Racetrack on Oct. 1.

Sired by Into Mischief, he has been bred by power and speed to handle the longer distances on dirt. Life Is Good is better off at this track starting in post No. 2 to give him to inside edge. He has the ability to break out of the pack and into the early lead.

Show: Hot Rod Charlie

After placing in the money in Triple Crown events’ the Kentucky Derby and the Belmont Stakes, Hot Rod Charlie was a bonfire contender in major graded events. As a four-year old, he won the Grade 2 Lukas Classic Stakes at Churchill Downs on Oct. 1 over Rich Strike and King Fury.

Hot Rod Charlie is the son of Oxbow and he is trained by Doug O’Neill. He is starting at Gate 5 in this race with Tyler Gaffalione as his jockey.  

From at post at Scores and Stats 2022 Breeders' Cup Classic Odds  and Picks

 

  

The NFL's "Best Bets" of Week 9

 The  NFL's Week 9 "Best Bets"

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions

The Packers have lost four in a row SU and they covered once ATS in last Sunday night's game against Buffalo by a half point losing 27-17. This game, Green Bay is a 3.5-point favorite on the road. Detroit has lost five straight games SU and has not covered in four. The advantage is the Lions gaining a half point on the spread.  

Green Bay is 0-5 ATS on the road against the Lions in the last five games in Detroit. Given the three-point spread either way, the best bet is a cover by the Lions at home.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals

Seattle has won three straight (SU and ATS) games by double-digit margins. The Seahawks' offense is supported by running back Kenneth Walker III and the defense is supported by 22 sacks in eight games. Arizona has lost three out of four games SU due to inconsistent play on offense, defense and special teams.

The Seahawks are 7-1-1 SU in their last nine road  games against Arizona. At two-point underdogs on the road this Sunday, they should follow suit. The best bet is Seattle covering the point spread against the Cardinals by winning SU. 

Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Tennessee has won its last five straight games this season (SU and ATS) by running the ball and playing defense. Kansas City is 5-2 SU in the regular season by passing the ball via Patrick Mahones. The Titans and the Chiefs are on top of their division in the AFC but Kansas City is a 12-point favorite at home.

The Titans are 5-1 both SU and ATS against the Chiefs in the last six games they played. As long as Tennessee runs the ball efficiently this Sunday night, the score should not get way out of hand. The best bet is Tennessee covering the 12 points on the road.

 

Massachusetts's Legal Retail and Online Sports Betting

 The Massachusetts Gaming Commission has plans to rollout legal retail sportsbooks in late January and online sportsbook in early March. Sports betting will be legal in the state to capture all the action from bookies in the retail section for the NFL's Super Bowl. All legal online sports betting is tide to March Madness for college basketball.

Doc's Sport Service has the complete article highlighting the MGC's plans for the launch. The post is The Massachusetts Gaming Commission has Plans for Retail and Online Sportsbooks

Thursday Night Football Week 9- Philadelphia Eagles vs. Houston Texans

 Week 9 of the NFL kicks off Thursday night with the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles visiting the Houston Texans as 13-points road favorites. The total line for this game is 44 points. 

Philadelphia is 7-0 SU on the year and 5-2 ATS. The Texans are just 1-5-1 SU but 3-3-1 against the spread. Houston is 2-1-1 ATS on the road and 1-2 ATS at home this season and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last seven games. 

The Eagles are double-digit favorites on the road in light of the way they performed this season both on offense and defense. The Philadelphia offense has scored 196 points which is third in the NFC while only playing seven games. The Eagles' defense has 23 sacks and 10 interceptions in the same timeframe. 

The Texans are double-digit home underdogs which points to their performance in a bad way. Davis Mills is quarterback for Houston and he only has eight touchdown throws against six interceptions. The offensive rushing attack only equals 647 yards in seven games. The defense of Houston is not that bad but it has been on the field for a long time heading into a short week.

In light in of recent betting stats, Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games going back to the previous season. The Eagles are 10-1 SU in its last 11 games against the AFC South. The total has gone OVER in six of the Eagles' last seven games against the AFC.

Houston is 1-9-1 SU in its last 11 games at home and 0-7 SU againsts the NFC in seven games. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five games against the NFC East. The Texans are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 games played on a Thursday. 

The Eagles should cover the 13 points on the road and the total will go OVER the 44-point line. Philadelphia lights it up on offense to spark the game going over 50 points combined.