Friday, November 4, 2022

My Trifecta for the Breeders' Cup Classic at Keeneland

 

Saturday, Nov. 5

Breeders’ Cup Classic – Keeneland Race Course

Win: Flightline

Starting at post No. 4, the four-year colt has veteran jockey Flavien Prat to show him the way. Trained by John Sadler, Flightline has five victories in five races under his belt. The Grade 1 Pacific Classic was his most recent win. He covered 1 ¼ miles on dirt in 1:59.28 over Country Grammer and Royal Ship.

As a son of Tapit, he won coast-to-coast races this season. Starting in the Grade 1 Metropolitan Stakes at Belmont Park in New York, Flightline raced at Del Mar in the West Coast’s Pacific Classic on Sept. 3. In winning the BC Classic, he should be three-for-three in all time zones.

Place: Life Is Good

Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by jockey Irad Ortiz Jr, Life Is Good started off this four-year campaign by taking first place in Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream. More recently, he won the Grade 1 Woodward Stakes at Aqueduct Racetrack on Oct. 1.

Sired by Into Mischief, he has been bred by power and speed to handle the longer distances on dirt. Life Is Good is better off at this track starting in post No. 2 to give him to inside edge. He has the ability to break out of the pack and into the early lead.

Show: Hot Rod Charlie

After placing in the money in Triple Crown events’ the Kentucky Derby and the Belmont Stakes, Hot Rod Charlie was a bonfire contender in major graded events. As a four-year old, he won the Grade 2 Lukas Classic Stakes at Churchill Downs on Oct. 1 over Rich Strike and King Fury.

Hot Rod Charlie is the son of Oxbow and he is trained by Doug O’Neill. He is starting at Gate 5 in this race with Tyler Gaffalione as his jockey.  


From at post at Scores and Stats 2022 Breeders' Cup Classic Odds  and Picks

 

  

Thursday, November 3, 2022

The NFL's "Best Bets" of Week 9

 The  NFL's Week 9 "Best Bets"

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions

The Packers have lost four in a row SU and they covered once ATS in last Sunday night's game against Buffalo by a half point losing 27-17. This game, Green Bay is a 3.5-point favorite on the road. Detroit has lost five straight games SU and has not covered in four. The advantage is the Lions gaining a half point on the spread.  

Green Bay is 0-5 ATS on the road against the Lions in the last five games in Detroit. Given the three-point spread either way, the best bet is a cover by the Lions at home.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals

Seattle has won three straight (SU and ATS) games by double-digit margins. The Seahawks' offense is supported by running back Kenneth Walker III and the defense is supported by 22 sacks in eight games. Arizona has lost three out of four games SU due to inconsistent play on offense, defense and special teams.

The Seahawks are 7-1-1 SU in their last nine road  games against Arizona. At two-point underdogs on the road this Sunday, they should follow suit. The best bet is Seattle covering the point spread against the Cardinals by winning SU. 

Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Tennessee has won its last five straight games this season (SU and ATS) by running the ball and playing defense. Kansas City is 5-2 SU in the regular season by passing the ball via Patrick Mahones. The Titans and the Chiefs are on top of their division in the AFC but Kansas City is a 12-point favorite at home.

The Titans are 5-1 both SU and ATS against the Chiefs in the last six games they played. As long as Tennessee runs the ball efficiently this Sunday night, the score should not get way out of hand. The best bet is Tennessee covering the 12 points on the road.

 

Wednesday, November 2, 2022

Massachusetts's Legal Retail and Online Sports Betting

 The Massachusetts Gaming Commission has plans to rollout legal retail sportsbooks in late January and online sportsbook in early March. Sports betting will be legal in the state to capture all the action from bookies in the retail section for the NFL's Super Bowl. All legal online sports betting is tide to March Madness for college basketball.

Doc's Sport Service has the complete article highlighting the MGC's plans for the launch. The post is The Massachusetts Gaming Commission has Plans for Retail and Online Sportsbooks

Tuesday, November 1, 2022

Thursday Night Football Week 9- Philadelphia Eagles vs. Houston Texans

 Week 9 of the NFL kicks off Thursday night with the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles visiting the Houston Texans as 13-points road favorites. The total line for this game is 44 points. 

Philadelphia is 7-0 SU on the year and 5-2 ATS. The Texans are just 1-5-1 SU but 3-3-1 against the spread. Houston is 2-1-1 ATS on the road and 1-2 ATS at home this season and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last seven games. 

The Eagles are double-digit favorites on the road in light of the way they performed this season both on offense and defense. The Philadelphia offense has scored 196 points which is third in the NFC while only playing seven games. The Eagles' defense has 23 sacks and 10 interceptions in the same timeframe. 

The Texans are double-digit home underdogs which points to their performance in a bad way. Davis Mills is quarterback for Houston and he only has eight touchdown throws against six interceptions. The offensive rushing attack only equals 647 yards in seven games. The defense of Houston is not that bad but it has been on the field for a long time heading into a short week.

In light in of recent betting stats, Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games going back to the previous season. The Eagles are 10-1 SU in its last 11 games against the AFC South. The total has gone OVER in six of the Eagles' last seven games against the AFC.

Houston is 1-9-1 SU in its last 11 games at home and 0-7 SU againsts the NFC in seven games. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five games against the NFC East. The Texans are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 games played on a Thursday. 

The Eagles should cover the 13 points on the road and the total will go OVER the 44-point line. Philadelphia lights it up on offense to spark the game going over 50 points combined.

Friday, October 28, 2022

This Saturday's Winner at the Twilight Derby in Santa Anita Park

 

Saturday, October 29

Twilight Derby – Santa Anita Park

Win: War At Sea

This Kentucky-bred three-year colt is trained by Ronald Ellis and he has raced for Doubledown Stables. War At Sea recently placed third in the Grade 3 Del Mar Derby on Sept. 3. He won three races at Santa Anita before that event, including the Cinema Stakes on June 4.

Sired by War Front, he has been in the money in every race this year, starting from a six-furlong sprint at Santa Anita in the beginning of January. War At Sea has spent his entire career racing at Santa Anita and Del Mar.

Place: Go Joe Won

Trained by Paula Capestro, this three-year gelding was also bred in Kentucky racing for Hurst Racing Stable. Go Joe Won finished first in the ungraded Shared Belief Stakes in Del Mar on Sept. 3. He completed the one mile run on turf in 1:37.69 over High Connection and Newgrange.

As a son of Protonico, he raced in Santa Anita and Del Mar the entire time he was competitive. Go Joe Won finished first, second or third in the final four races of his young career. All four events were one mile and longer on turf. 

Show: Balnikhov

Despite finish fourth in the Del Mar Derby this past September, Balnikhov is the top of this list for HRN’s ratings with 5.67 in the Twilight Derby. The three-year old gelding was bred in Ireland and competitive at West Coast tracks such as Santa Anita and Del Mar. He won at Del Mar in the Oceanside Stakes on July 22, covered one mile on turf.

Balnikhov is the son of Adaay and he has finish in the money in three of the last five races he ran. All one mile or longer, he has covered the distances with a firm surface on turf.

Featured horse racing post at ScoresandStats.com


 

Thursday, October 27, 2022

The NFL "Best Bets" of Week 8

 The NFL Week 8 "Best Bets"

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets

The Patriots lost to Chicago 33-14 this past Monday night to spoil a two-game winning streak SU and a three-game cover against the spread. New England is 3-4 SU and 3-3-1 ATS overall in the year. New York has won four games in a row both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the Jets' last two games while giving up a combined 19 points.

New England is 4-1 ATS against the Jets in the last five regular season games but this is not the same old New York team. The new Jets are on top their game both on offense and defense and the best bet prediction this they will win straight up as 2.5-point home underdogs.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams

San Francisco lost to Atlanta 28-14 on the road and Kansas City 44-23 at home to fall to 3-4 both SU and ATS on the year. The LA Rams are just 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS coming off of their bye week but they are underdogs at home. 

All the betting trends are against the Rams in this matchup but one - Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in the last five games of the Week 8 season. The best bet in this NFC West battle is the Rams covers the spread as 1.5-point home underdogs.

Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills

The Packers have lost three games SU and they have not covered against the spread in the last four outings. Buffalo has won three straight while going 5-1 SU (4-1-1 ATS) in the last six games. There is a separation between these inter-conference ballclubs that is easy to define.

Green Bay +11 on the road is too unimageable to describe but it this the point spread line with a number of top US sportsbooks. The best bet in this matchup could be the UNDER in 47.5 points. The Packers have scored a combined 42 points in three road games this season and Buffalo's defense has allowed a combined 43 points in its last three games.

Wednesday, October 26, 2022

Fanatics Plans to Launch US Sports Betting in January of 2023

 Fanatics has been toying with the idea of entering US sports betting since New York legislators first had the idea of online sportsbooks in the state. The sports apparel company did not get selected to open up a online book in New York but it never let the goal of legal sport betting for the country.

Earlier in October, Fanatics CEO Michael Rubin announced that the company will be rolling out US sports betting in January of 2023. In September in that year, Fanatics Sportsbook will be legal in 15 to 20 states across the US.

Doc's Sports Service has broken the story in Fanatics Plans to Launch its US Sports Betting Division in January, 2023.