Here are my top
five horses in the Risen Star at Fair Grounds along with the morning line odds and
my percentage to win.
Victory
Formation (3-1)
Trained by Brad
Cox and ridden by jockey Flavien Prat, he is positioned at the No. 13 gate for
this race. Victory Formation won his three-year old debut on Jan. 1 in the
Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn Park. He completed the one mile on dirt in 1:38.14
over Angel of Empire and Denington.
Victory Formation
also won at Keeneland in the 6 ½-furlong sprint and Churchill Down in a six-furlong
sprint as a two-year old. Sired by Tapwrit, he was bred to go over a mile on
dirt as one of the favorites for the Kentucky Derby Trail.
Odds of
Winning: 45%
Tapit’s Conquest
(6-1)
This
Kentucky-bred colt raced for LaPenta, Robert V., e Five Racing Thoroughbreds
and Madaket Stables. Also trained by Brad Cox, he will start at the No. 8 gate
with jockey Florent Geroux. After taking second in a seven-furlong sprint at
Saratoga, Tapit’s Conquest closed out his juvenile campaign with a victory in 1
1/16 miles on dirt at Churchill Downs.
As a three-year
thoroughbred, he finished second at Fair Grounds in a 1 1/16-miles Allowance
race on Jan. 21. Tapit’s Conquest does have the speed and power to compete with
Victory Formation to win this race.
Odds of Winning:
35%
Curly Jack
(8-1)
As one of the legitimate
contenders trained by Thomas Amoss, Curly Jack should place in the money in
this race. Sired by Good Magic, he has finished first or second place in four
of six raced as a two-year old. He is making his three-year old debut in the
Risen Star at Fair Ground after racing at Churchill Downs, Saratoga and
Keeneland in his juvenile campaign.
Placing second
at Churchill Downs in the 2022 Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes on Nov. 26,
Curly Jack has the stamina to keep up with the favorite in the Risen Star.
Odds of
Winning: 10%
Angel of Empire
(8-1)
Also a
third-favorite at 8-1 odds, Angel of Empire is positioned at the No. 6 gate
with Luis Saez as his jockey. He is trained by Brad Cox and raced for Albaugh
Family Stables LLC. Bred in Pennsylvania, he finished first or second in three
out of four events in his racing career. Angel of Empire made his three-year debut
in a second-place finish at Oaklawn Park in the Smarty Jones Stakes.
Odds of
Winning: 5%
Silver Heist
(12-1)
This Kentucky-bred
colt finished third in his three-year old debut in a 1 1/16-mile Allowance race
on Jan. 21 at Fair Grounds. He started off at this track as a two-year old with
a victory in a six-furlong sprint on Dec. 26. Silver Heist is trained by Steven
Asmussen and ridden by Cory Lanerie out of the No. 11 gate in this race. He is
priced right as a 12-1 longshot in this field.
Odds of
Winning: 5%
Previously posted at Doc's Sports Service
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