Sunday, April 24, 2022

2022 NFL Draft Top 3 "Opening Round" Prop Picks

 The opening round of this year's NFL draft will take place this Thursday night in Las Vegas. The Jacksonville Jaguars will be on the clock first with the No. 1 overall pick. 

Most betting experts predict that former Michigan defensive end Aiden Hutchinson will be that pick. The betting odds that Hutchinson goes first in the 2022 draft are set at -180. 

There are any number of ways to bet on Thursday's first round through a grocery list of interesting betting props. Below is a quick look at my Top 3 draft prop picks offering the best betting value in the current numbers.

OVER/UNDER: Quarterbacks Drafted in the First Round?

The OVER/UNDER for this prop has been set at 3.5. The betting odds heavily favor the UNDER at -275. However, a small bet on OVER at +185 offers a solid return. 

The quarterback position is the most overanalyzed when it comes to NFL draft gurus. The two quarterbacks deemed worthy of a first round pick appear to be Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett. The next two quarterbacks on the ranking list would be Desmond Ridder and Matt Coral. 

NFL teams looking for their next quarterback tend to reach when it comes to the annual draft. This always opens up the possibility that all four of these players will off the board in the opening round.

OVER/UNDER: Total First Round Defensive Players

The OVER/UNDER on defensive players taken in the first 32 picks is set pretty much in the middle at 15.5. The betting odds favor the OVER at -160 given a stronger trend towards drafting elite players on the defensive end of the ball.

Yet, there is some solid value in the +120 odds for the UNDER in this prop given the unpredictable nature of every NFL team. Everything is subject to change come Thursday night and this could easily swing the balance of power towards offensive players.

If you wanted to double down on this prop, you could also bet the OVER 15.5 on total offensive players at +110 odds.

First Wide Receiver Taken in the NFL Draft

The betting odds favor Garrett Wilson being the first wide receiver drafted on Thursday night at -140. The next player on the list is Jameson Williams at +175.

Both of these players are expected to be drafted in the first half of the opening round. Wilson gets the slight edge to go first but nothing is set in stone. In a prop that could be deemed 'too close to call', the added value in Williams' plus money odds at 175 becomes too hard to turn down.

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