It is pretty common for perception and reality to be at opposite ends of the spectrum during the first few weeks of any new NFL season. Case in point was my free pick for last Thursday night's AFC East clash between the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills.
Based on what I saw from both of these teams on offense in Week 1, I predicted a low-scoring battle that would easily stay UNDER an already low total line of 40.5 points. The Jets had just come up short in a 23-22 loss to Cincinnati with less than 190 yards of passing offense while the Bills could only manage seven points in a Week 1 loss to Baltimore. Following a sluggish first quarter in last Thursday night's matchup in which the Bills led New York 7-6, both teams started lighting up the scoreboard to end the game with combined 68 points. So much for early perceptions when it comes to predicting future results.
Fast forward to this Thursday's Houston at New England game and the early perception was that the Patriots could be in big trouble against the 2-0 Texans with their third-string quarterback Jacoby Brissett slated to get the start. It is pretty obvious that the betting public is not buying into this line of thought with the game now listed as a PICK after Houston opened as a 2.5-point favorite on the road when the betting line was first released last Sunday night at BetAnySports.
New England getting points at home was a gift no matter who is under center at quarterback so that is why I am so glad that I locked in on this game early in the week to get those 2.5 points. Including the playoffs, the Patriots come into this game with a 27-2 straight-up record in their last 29 games played in the friendly confines of Gillette Stadium in Foxboro.
Check out the link below at SportsBettingStats.com for my complete preview of this intriguing early-season tilt between a pair of undefeated teams as part of a season-long series picking winners for Thursday Night Football.
LINK: HOUSTON TEXANS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS BETTING LINES - FREE PICK
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