Thursday, May 4, 2023

The Most Popular US Horse Races to Bet On

1) Kentucky Derby - Churchill Downs

2) Preakness Stakes - Pimlico Race Course

3) Belmont Stakes - Belmont Park

4) Haskell Stakes - Monmouth Park Racetrack

5) Travers Stakes - Saratoga Race Course

6) Pacific Classic - Del Mar Racetrack

7) Breeders' Cup Classic - Santa Anita Park (2023)

Posted on ScoresandStats.com

Wednesday, May 3, 2023

My 5 Contenders for the Kentucky Derby

These five horses have morning line odds and my prediction to win this stakes race in percentage points. I also have the top three contenders to win, place and show as a bonus pick.

Forte (3-1)

This three-year-old colt has been a favorite to win the Kentucky Derby ever since he won the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile on Nov. 4 as a two-year-old. Trained by Todd Pletcher, Forte won a pair of major graded stakes at Gulfstream Park this year. He finished first in the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes on March 4 and he topped the field in the Grade 1 Florida Derby on April 1.

Sired by Violence, he finished first in six of seven races in his early career (fourth in the Grade 3 Stanford Stakes in mid-July last year). Forte has shown the pedigree and power to finish strong in the backstretch at 1 ¼ miles on dirt. He is starting at the No. 15 gate at Churchill Downs with jockey Irad Ortiz Jr..

Percent to Win: 60%

Tapit Trice (5-1)

As a Kentucky-bred colt racing for Whisper Hill Farms and Gainesway Stable, Tapit Trice has won races at Gulfstream Park, Tampa Bay Downs and Keeneland Race Course as a three-year-old. He finished first at Keeneland on April 8 in the Grade 1 Blue Grass Stakes to cement his rating (7.89) at Horse Racing Nation.

In that race at Keeneland, Tapit Trice covered 1 1/8 miles on dirt in 1:50.00 over Verifying and Blazing Sevens. Also trained by Todd Pletcher, he drew the No. 5 gate at Churchill Downs and Luis Saez will be his jockey.

Percent to Win: 20%

Angel of Empire (8-1)

As a son of Classic Empire, he finished first or second in five races out of the six in his competitive career. Angel of Empire won his last two races as a three-year-old. He finished first at Fair Ground on Feb. 18 in the Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes before winning the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park on April 1.

Trained by Brad Cox  and ridden by jockey Flavien Prat, Angel of Empire will start the Kentucky Derby at the No. 14 gate. He has increased the distance and grade of this event, but his HRN rating of 7.70 will make him one of the legitimate contenders for the Kentucky Derby.

Percent to Win: 5%

Practical Move (10-1)

With Tim Yakteen as the trainer and jockey Ramon Vazquez leading him out of the No. 10 gate, Practical Move is in pretty good position to make a run for the money in the Kentucky Derby. He won back-to-back races at Santa Anita Park by finishing first in the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes on March 4 before taking first in the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby on April 8.

Sired by Practical Joke, he climbed the ladder in his 7.67 rating at HRN with his two victories out on the West Coast.

Percent to Win: 5%

Kingsbarns (12-1)

As a son of Uncle Mo and trained by Todd Pletcher, Kingsbarns has an 8.02 HRN rating from his last win at Fair Grounds. He finished first in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby on March 25 by covering the 1 3/16 mile on dirt in 1:57.33. His competitive career as a three-year-old created wins in the one-mile Allowance race at Gulfstream Park and a Maiden Special Weight race at Tampa Bay Downs covering 1 mile and 40 yards.

Starting at No. 6 at Churchill Down in the Kentucky Derby with jockey Jose Ortiz, Kingsbarns is a live longshot to finish in the money in this race.

Percent to Win: 10%

Kentucky Derby Bonus Pick:

$50 on Forte to Win

$25 on Tapit Trice to Place

$25 on Kingsbarns to Show

Previously posted at Doc's Sport Service

Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Is Legal Online Sports Betting Coming to North Carolina?

North Carolina's House of Representatives approved a bill allowing 10 to 12 online sportsbooks to set up shop in the state. If the state Senate follows suit, Governor Roy Copper could sign HB 347 into law and legal online sportsbooks might be operating next year.

State Representative Jason Saine introduces HB 347 for the legislative session in late winter and he  recently commented:

"We've learned a good bit from both sided about some of the tweaks that needed to happen. We've worked to accommodate those concern, and we believe we have a bill can that can do better than pass. It can get support from both caucuses"

Doc's Sports Service has all the details in the post, Are Legal Online Sports Betting Sites Coming to North Carolina?



Thursday, April 27, 2023

5 Tips of Horse Racing Bets

 Whether you are betting the Kentucky Derby or the race card at the local track, these five tips for wagering on horse racing come to mind when picking out the winners. It is both a science and an art to know and understand which horses are a cut above the rest in running the race around the track on dirt and on turf.

Handicap Your Odds on Horse Race Betting

You have the basic positions of which horses will win, place and show. Also, you have exotic positions referred as the exacta, trifecta and superfecta in a horse race. These positions are bets within the particular race in the daily card. They all have money pools as part of the para-mutual waging on horse racing here in the US.

There are multiple bets in a race card known as the Daily Double, Pick 3, Pick 4, Pick 5 and Pick 6. A common goal is to pick the winner in consecutive race cards throughout the day at the same horse track. These multiple wagers in the same horse bet have separate money pools as well at the live horse track, an off-track betting facility and online with a betting site.

You can handicap your odds for the different types of  bets to want to play for the daily race card. If you only want to pick a win, place or show position, you can focus on the favorite, a few legitimate contenders and one or two longshots. If you want to pick an exacta, trifecta or superfecta, you can focus your attention to two, three or four horses in the same race. From live race tracks that offer the Daily Double all the way to the Pick 6 bet, you can pick winners for consecutive multiple races in the card.

Find Out Your Daily Horse Track Conditions

Most horses run in fast conditions at the track in dry weather, but a few horses do better with sloppy conditions at a wet track. You have to find out your daily track conditions whether you are at the facility itself or betting the track from an off-track venue or online from a betting site.

The track conditions applies to racing on dirt and turf. You can finds a horse that prefers a sloppy track if it is raining or wet . It is important to change track conditions from dry to wet as the race card progresses.

Make Note of  the Trainer and Jockey of Your Horses

Along with the horse you want to focus on, the trainer and the jockey are important for this race as well in the daily card. The trainer has a win-loss record at every main horse track in the US. They can make a big difference over the span of the horse’s competitive career. The jockey rides the horse and he can also make a difference in that race, good or bad.

Understand the Tangible and Intangible Factors

Here are tangible factors that needs to be considered in a race including the position in the starting gate, blinkers on or off and dirt vs. turf as a riding surface. The intangible factors in a race are layoffs between two events, raising or dropping in the class of the race and medication (Lasix and Bute).

Know How Skill and Luck Work Hand-to-Hand

Winning a horse race is a combination of skill and luck. You need skill to pick out the horses in a race and you need luck to have the right breaks fall their way. From the odds-on favorite to the live longshot, a certain amount of skill and luck will guide you along with your picks at the horse track.


Previously posted on ScoresandStats.com

 

Wednesday, April 26, 2023

Probable Entries for the Kentucky Oaks and the Kentucky Derby

Friday, May 5

Kentucky Oaks - Churchill Downs

Wet Paint

Hoosier Philly

Wonder Wheel

Flying Connection

Pretty Mischievous

Botanical

Defining Purpose

And Tell Me Nolies

Dorth Vader

Southlawn

Mimi Kakushi

Gambling Girl

The Alys Look

Affirmative Lady

Promiseher America


Saturday,  May 6

Kentucky Derby - Churchill Downs

Fornte

Kingsbarns

Tapit Trice

Practical Move

Angel of Empire

Two Phil's

Derma Sotogake

Mage

Mandarin Hero

Disarm

Reincarnate

Rocket Can

Verifying

Hit Show

Lord Miles

Jace's Road

Continuar

Raise Cain

Confidence Game

Sun Thunder

Wild On Ice







Tuesday, April 25, 2023

MLB's Athletics are Moving to Las Vegas

 Last Wednesday night on April 19, Athletics' President Dave Kaval said that the team signed an agreement to purchase land in Las Vegas near the Strip to build a retractable roof stadium in the next few years. The first pitch in the new Las Vegas ballpark is scheduled to take place in the 2027 season.

The president of the Athletics commented:

"For a while, we were on parallel paths with Oakland, but we have turned our attention to Las Vegas to get a deal here for the A's and find a long-term home...Oakland has been a great home for us for over 5 years, but we really need this 20-year saga completed and we feel there's a path in Southern Nevada to do that."

The term of the lease in Oakland expires in 2024, so the team will move to the A's AAA team (Las Vegas Aviators) home venue until the new stadium is completed. The new ballpark is just west of T-Mobile Arena and Interstate 15.

Doc's Sports Service has all the details in the post, The MLB's Athletics Plan to Move to Las Vegas.

Friday, April 21, 2023

NFL East 2023 Draft Picks

Philadelphia Eagles

Round 1: No. 10 (from New Orleans)

Round 1: No. 30

Round 2: No. 62

Round 3: No. 94

Round 7: No. 219 (from Houston)

Round 7: No. 248


Dallas Cowboys

Round 1: No. 26

Round 2: No. 58

Round 3: No. 90

Round 4: No. 129

Round 5: No. 169

Round 6: No. 212

Round 7: No. 244


New York Giants

Round 1: No. 25

Round 2: No. 57

Round 3: No. 89

Round 4: No. 128

Round 5: No. 160

Round 5: No. 172

Round 6: No. 209 (from Kansas City)

Round 7: No. 240 (from Baltimore)

Round 7: No. 243

Round 7: No. 254


Washington Commanders

Round 1: No. 16

Round 2: No. 47

Round 3: No. 97

Round 4: No. 118

Round 5: No. 150

Round 6: No. 193

Round 6: No. 215

Round 7: No. 233


Previously posted at NBC Sports