Thursday, April 20, 2023

Five Aspects of Being a Professional Handicapper

There are many differences between a recreational sports betting fan and a professional sports handicapper. A typical sports fan that wants to bet on the game or event is 50/50 on being right or wrong in their decision. The professional handicapper needs to be right an average of 52.5 percent (or higher) to make a living out of their sports betting decisions.

A winning record on the sports predictions is only one of five aspects of being a professional handicapper. All five aspects are listed below if you want to make sports picks as a pro.

A Minimum Winning Record

You only have to be right with your sports picks on an average of 52.5% to be a professional handicapper. That percentage is based on odds of -110 which allows the sportsbooks to charge 10%. The ambitious pro handicapper touts the fact that over 75% of the picks are right, but there is a limited time frame to their statement.

Most pro handicappers generally fall between 55% to 60% in their sports picks on a continuous basis. They include a point spread between a favorite and underdog, the over or under on the total line and money line odds in a straight-up contest. These are documented sport predictions under a reputable sports service offering picks for the game or event.

Be careful in picking out a pro handicapper with a high percentage of right selections. They could be taking heavy favorites to boost their claim of right picks.

Paying for the Pro’s Sports Picks

Free picks from a pro handicapper is a promotional incentive to get an avid betting hooked on the daily, weekly or monthly package of selections that they pay for. A pro handicapper makes money in their right picks as betting on the game or event, but the real advantage comes with selling their selections to the betting public.

The typical pro handicapper is part of a sports betting service. The reputable sports service uses common transactions such as credit and debit cards, a bank wire and money transfer services. Progressive sports betting services also use Bitcoin to process money transfers in a safe and secure environment.

A legitimate professional handicapper can apply their services for any reputable sports betting service. The business transaction between the pro handicapper and the avid betting public via the sports betting service is performed all the time with very few glitches and problems.

Transparency in a Pro Handicapping’s Sports Predictions

One of the most important aspects of a professional handicapper is transparency. The pro handicapper should document their sports predictions whether they are a free pick or rolled up in a paid daily, weekly, or monthly package.

As an avid sports betting fan, there are ways to track and monitor the selections. Also as a sports bettor is interested in transparency, there will be a way to see the published report on a daily, weekly and monthly basis.

As a professional handicapper, transparency should be relevant in the short-term and long-term sports picks. Checking references and publishing the results should also be done as a form of transparency for the pro handicapper.

Finding Value in the Handicapping Profession

If a recreational bettor is serious about their return of investment from betting on the sports games or sporting events, they will want a professional handicapper to lend insight to those picks. Sometimes, they can pickup what they need from a free pick. Other times, they will pay for the pick in a daily, weekly or monthly package.

Either way, avid sports bettors find value in a pro handicapper’s prediction on the particular game or event. There is a great deal of potential in a pro handicapper’s pick and the value should meet the cost. A professional handicapper can make a living out of the perceived value in their sports prediction.

Money Management with a Professional Handicapper’s Sports Selections

If an avid sports bettor is paying for a professional handicapper’s pick, they will also get a unit bet on the game or event. An average sports pick comes with the individual sports service’s recommendation. If the average pick has three or four units, the elevated pick has seven or eight units.

Money management and the unit pick on the game or event is a common practice in a professional handicapper’s paid selection. Their probable confidence of the selection is evident in the units bet per game or event. The promotional tool of the selection is laid out with the units bet and the set result.

The success (or failure) of a pro handicapper often lies with big-unit plays for big-time games or events with national television audience.

All Five Aspects Make Up One Good Professional Handicapper

These five aspects of a pro handicapper rolled up in the definition of someone that is an expert in how they perceive each individual sports betting game and/or event. They take a detailed and calculated view of the situation and plug in probable results in the outcome. If they like what they see, the game or event is worth another look.

The main difference between an avid sports betting fan and a professional sports handicapper is an objective viewpoint. The avid sports betting fan lets a bias stance creep in to make a bet. The pro handicapper takes an objective path to the stats, facts and recent betting trends. These come together and form a probable situation for the outcome.

All five aspects make up a good professional handicapper, but they must be objective in their approach to picking the particular game or event. The pro handicappers often call this intuition on who will win (or lose) the contest. This intuition is based on the knowing and understanding the stats, facts and recent betting trends along with the probability of the situation.

A pro handicapper basically does this work for a living. They cover all the scenarios that both teams (or individuals) possess alongside the tangible and intangible situations they will encounter. Above all, they make an objective and probable outcome of the individual sports game or sporting event based on the intuition they have.


Previously posted on RDG Corporation

Wednesday, April 19, 2023

Five of the Top Contenders to Win the 2023 Kentucky Derby

 

The first Saturday in May is about two weeks away and identifying the Kentucky Derby contenders is both a science and an art. I have found my top five contender in the KentuckyDerby.com page on three-year-old Thoroughbreds that have accumulated quality points in the Kentucky Derby prep races this past season through early April of this year.

1-Forte

190 Total Points

$2,359,730  Stake Race Winnings

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

 

2-Practional Move

160 Total Points

$822,000 Stake Race Winnings

Trainer: Tim Yakteen

 

3-Angel of Empire

154 Total Points

$1.026,375 Stake Race Winnings

Trainer: Brad Cox

 

4-Tapit Trice

150 Total Points

$738,500 Stake Race Winnings

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

 

5-Two Phil’s

123 Total Points

$643,850 Stakes Race Winnings

Trainer: Larry Rivelli

 

Tuesday, April 18, 2023

DraftKings Online Sportsbook has Home Field Advantage in Massachusetts

DraftKings is the second-most popular sportsbook in the legal US market. The daily sports fantasy site was founded 11 years ago in Boston and it started taking sports bets in August of 2018. As one of the two major DFS sites branching out into sports betting, DraftKings is a diversified gaming company that is known throughout the US and Canada.

Headquartered in Boston, DraftKings has special interest in launching online legal sports betting in Massachusetts. On March 10, it was one of six online sportsbooks that started taking bets on sports in the Bay State. There are 10 online books that have been approved by the Massachusetts Gaming Commision. 

As touting its home field position in Massachusetts, DraftKings is spending money in promotional bonuses to attract new sports betting customers in all parts of the state. The company is especially working on new customers in Boston and the surrounding area in that city. 

Doc's Sports Service has all the details in the post, DraftKings Online Sportsbook has Home Field Advantage in Massachusetts.

Thursday, April 13, 2023

The Top 5 NFL Draft Props for 2023

Here are five 2023 NFL Draft prop bets that you can consider courtesy of  Raphael Esparza. As an expert handicapper for all major sports and horse racing, Raphael is one of the leading mock draft contributors in the NFL. His site is UCanBetThat.com and the 2023 NFL draft props is listed as the featured event for this month's bets.

1st Overall Pick of the 2023 NFL Draft

Bryce Young -275

CJ Stroud +185

Anthony Richardson +2000

Will Levis +5000

1st Defensive Player of the 2023 NFL Draft

Will Anderson Jr. -350

Jalen Carter +500

Tyree Wilson +600

Devon Witherspoon +2000

Christian Gonzales +2500

Myles Murphy +5000

1st Wide Receiver of the 2023 NFL Draft

Jaxon Smith-Njigba -400

Jordan Addison +450

Zay Flowers +550

Quentin Johnson +1200

Jalin Hyatt +2500

Total Big 10 Players Selected in the First Round

Over 8.5 Players -250

Under 8.5 Players +170

Total SEC Players Selected in the First Round

Over 11.5 Players +170

Under 11.5 Players -250








Tuesday, April 11, 2023

The NFL Owners Allow Sports Betting on Game Day

The Washington Commanders have a retail sports betting facility in FedEx Field as a partnership with  Fanatics Sportsbook. After the NFL owners allowed sports betting on game day starting this season, they will be first in line to have legal sports wagering at FedEx Field in early September.

There are 18 NFL teams that have the right to partner with a sportsbook operator to have legal sports betting at their stadium on game days. The first $20 million in retail revenue is free and clear for the partnership. After that, the NFL teams share the wealth by pooling the sports betting take.

Doc's Sports Service has all the details in the follow post NFL Owners Voted to Allow Sports Bets at Stadium on Game Days.



39 Entries for the 2023 Kentucky Derby


1) Angel of Empire 29-1
2) Arctic Arrogance 165-1
3) Blazing Sevens 46-1
4) Bourbon Bash 100-1
5) Classic Car Wash 169-1
6) Confidence Game 29-1
7) Continuar (JPN) 54-1
8) Cyclone Mischief 88-1
9) Derma Sotogake (JPN) 13-1
10) Disarm 33-1
11) Dreamlike 143-1
12) Dubyuhnell 111-1
13) Fort Bragg 58-1
14) Forte 3-1
15) Geaux Rocket Ride 33-1
16) Hayes Strike 404-1
17) Hit Show 30-1
18) I Don't Get It 238-1
19) Instant Coffee 49-1
20) Jace's Road 118-1
21) Kingsbarns 11-1
22) Mage 46-1
23) Mandarin Hero (JPN) 99-1
24) Mendelssohns March 212-1
25) National Treasure 44-1
26) Practical Move 14-1
27) Raise Cain 81-1
28) Red Route One 24-1
29) Reincarnate 24-1
30) Rocket Can 32-1
31) Shadow Dragon 299-1
32) Skinner 50-1
33) Slip Mahoney 130-1
34) Sun Thunder 113-1
35) Tapit Trice 12-1
36) Two Eagles River 38-1
37) Two Phil's 21-1
38) Verifying 50-1
39) Wild On Ice 190-1

Posted by Vegas Insiders

Friday, April 7, 2023

The Top Five Contenders for the 2023 Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland

 

Breaking down the top five horses for this race on the morning line odds, I have given a winning percentage to each one of the contestants.

Tapit Trice (5-2)

This Kentucky-bred colt has raced four times in his early career, and he has won the last three events at Aqueduct, Gulfstream Park and Tampa Bay Downs. As a three-year-old, Tapit Trice won a one-mile Allowance race at Gulfstream on Feb. 4 before capturing first place at Tampa Bay Downs on March 11 in the Grade 3 Tampa Bay Derby.

Sired by Tapit, he drew the No. 1 gate for this race with jockey Luis Saez. Trained by Todd Pletcher, Tapit Trice has raced at least one mile on dirt in his early career. As long as he gets off to a clean start, the favorite will be among the leaders in the backstretch.

Winning Percentage: 45%

Verifying (3-1)

Starting at gate No. 3, Verifying should be neck-and-neck with Tapit Trice to win the race. He has Brad Cox as his trainer and Tyler Gaffalione as his jockey. He also has placed first or second in three of five races in his early career. Verifying did take fourth in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park on Feb. 25, but he ran into tough competition with Confidence Game, Red Route One and Reincarnate in the money.

Winning Percentage: 30%

Raise Cain (9-2)

As a son of Violence, he won the Grade 3 Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct on March 4. Raise Cain covering 1 1/16 miles on dirt in 1:38.09 over Slip Mahoney and General Banker. He also finished first, second or third in his two-year-old career. Trained by Ben Colebrook and ridden by jockey Joel Rosario, Raise Cain is breaking out of the No. 10 gate in the Blue Grass Stakes. He is stepping up in distance and grade in this race, but he has a knack for finishing in the money for major grade events.

Winning Percentage: 15%

Blazing Sevens (6-1)

Trained by Chad Brown, he is starting from the No. 8 gate with Irad Ortiz Jr. has his jockey. Blazing Sevens placed a distance eight in the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth on March 4 at Gulfstream Park. However, he finished first or third in three races as a two-year-old colt. As a son of Good Magic, he has raced over a mile on dirt his last two events. Blazing Sevens has also race at Keeneland before.

Winning Percentage: 5%

Sun Thunder (10-1)

As a three-year-old colt, he races at Fair Grounds his last two major graded events. Sun Thunder finished second in the Grade 2 Risen Star on Feb. 18 before placing fifth in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby on March 25. The Blue Grass Stakes is another major graded stakes race to get points for qualifying for the Kentucky Derby in first Saturday in May.

Winning Percentage: 5%

Previously posted on Doc's Sports Service