NFL Week 17 Top Picks on the Total Line

 My Top 5 picks on this Sunday's NFL total line are reprinted below through permission of ScoresandStats.com

Five OVER/UNDER Picks for NFL Week 17

The Sunday after Christmas was good to bettors going with the OVER on the total line. If you had bet the OVER in all 12 games, you would have cashed nine winning tickets against just three games staying UNDER. These results were a dramatic shift from the season-long lean towards lower scoring games.

Here is a look at my Top 5 NFL plays on the total line for this Sunday’s games in Week 17.

Sunday, Jan. 2

New York Giants at Chicago Bears: UNDER 38

The Giants have lost their last four games while scoring a combined 46 points. Chicago is coming off a 25-24 upset over Seattle with Nick Foles as the starting quarterback. That sparked some life on the offensive end of the field.

The total has stayed UNDER in seven of New York’s last nine games. It has also stayed UNDER in five of its last seven games against the Bears. Look for another low-scoring battle this Sunday between two teams riding out the string.

Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals: OVER 49

The Chiefs extended their current winning streak to eight games by routing Pittsburgh by 26 points. Cincinnati is coming off a big win against Baltimore while scoring 41 points. This could set the stage for a shootout this Sunday.

The total has gone OVER in six of the Chiefs’ last eight games against an AFC team. The total has gone OVER in six of Cincinnati’s last nine games overall. It has also gone OVER in four of the Bengals’ last five home games.

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Football Team: OVER 44

The Eagles have scored a combined 94 points in their last three games. This includes 27 points against Washington just two weeks ago. The Football Team just gave up 56 points in a lopsided loss against Dallas.

The total has gone OVER in four of Philadelphia’s last five games overall and in four of its last six division games. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between these NFC East foes.

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers: UNDER 45.5

Denver has lost three of its last four games while scoring a combined 32 points in those three losses. The Chargers lost to the Broncos 28-13 on Nov. 28 in a game that stayed UNDER the 47-point total line.

The total has stayed UNDER in the last eight meetings in Los Angeles. It has also stayed UNDER in seven of Denver’s last eight road games. Look for both of these trends to hold up in this Sunday’s matchup.

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers: OVER 48.5

The Vikings need a win and some help to stay in the wild card playoff race after losing to the Los Angeles Rams at home this past Sunday. Green Bay needs a win to maintain its top seed in the NFC.

With both of these NFC North foes playing with something on the line, the points should add up on the scoreboard. The total has gone OVER in eight of the Vikings’ last 10 road games. It has also gone OVER in eight of Green Bay’s last 10 games against a division rival.

 

 

NFL Week 16 Top Picks on the Total Line

 My NFL total line picks for Week 16 are reprinted through permission of ScoresandStats.com.

Five OVER/UNDER Picks for NFL Week 16

Week 15 game delays thinned the number of actual NFL betting matchups on this past Sunday’s slate. With just 10 games on the adjusted schedule, the total stayed UNDER in seven of those games with scoring at a premium. When Tampa Bay gets shutout, you know it was a strange day for NFL bettors.

Going with the games set for this Sunday’s NFL betting board, here are five more top plays betting the total line.

Sunday, Dec. 26

Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons: UNDER 44

Detroit is coming off its best game of the season after stunning Arizona 30-12. What stood out in this win was an excellent defensive effort. Atlanta only managed to score 13 points in a loss to San Francisco.

Neither of these teams should light up the scoreboard this Sunday in a series where the total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 meetings. The total has also stayed UNDER in nine of Detroit’s last 12 games overall.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals: UNDER 44

This is a huge showdown in the AFC North with both teams tied at 8-6. The winner takes sole possession of first place and the loser risks missing the playoffs altogether. The Bengals won the first meeting on the road 41-17.

The second meeting should be a grinder that remains a low scoring affair. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the Ravens’ last six games. It has also stayed UNDER in five of their last six games on the road. Cincinnati just held Denver to 10 points while winning with 15.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: OVER 44

New England’s stunning loss to Indianapolis to slip to 9-5 opened the door for Buffalo (8-6) in the AFC East Division title race. Two weeks ago, New England beat Buffalo 14-10. However, I still see this Sunday’s rematch turning into a higher scoring game than expected.

The total has gone OVER in four of the Bills’ last six games. It has gone OVER in 11 of their last 16 games on the road. The total has also gone OVER in four of the Patriots’ last five home games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers: OVER 47.5

Tampa Bay getting shutout against the rival New Orleans Saints sets the stage for a big turn around this Sunday against another NFC South foe. The only question is how many points will Carolina be able to add to that total?

The trends favor a higher scoring game than the current total line. The total has gone OVER in five of Carolina’s last six games overall and in eight of its last 11 December games. The total has also gone OVER in four of the last six meetings between the two.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs: UNDER 46.5

Pittsburgh continues to find ways to win games it appeared destined to lose. Kansas City is finding its form at the right time of the year with a SU seven-game winning streak. The total has gone OVER in three of the Chiefs’ last five wins.

While the Chiefs should find a way to keep their winning streak going, I have their defense stepping up at home. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven meetings overall and it has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings in Kansas City.

 

 

 

BettingLiveDogs.com NFL Pick of the Day: San Francisco at Tennessee

 Its Week 16 of the NFL regular season and all the action gets started on Thursday night with the NFC's San Francisco 49ers on the road as three-point favorites against the AFC's Tennessee Titans. Each of these teams is in the thick of their conference's playoff race and a win on Thursday night would go a long way towards helping the cause.

San Francisco has moved to 8-6 straight-up with five victories in its last six games. Capturing the NFC West Division title would be a stretch behind both the Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Rams with each team at 10-4. Yet, the 49ers are in solid position to earn a wild card spot in the conference and the current No. 5 seed.

The 9-6 Titans' hold a very tenuous one-game lead over the Indianapolis Colts for first place in the AFC South. Thursday night's game is not a must-win situation. However, after losing three of its last four games, Tennessee's margin for error has become rather tight. 

There is no doubt that the 49ers come in hot given their current playing form. However, Tennessee comes in desperate for a win. This is still a solid team on both sides of the ball that gains a significant edge playing this game at home in Nashville.

When it comes to releasing my BettingLiveDogs.com pick of the day, I normally look for the best value in a home dog straight-up on the money line. 

Getting Tennessee at -145 on the current money line is just too tempting to pass up. The Titans are 3-1 SU against the NFC this season, including a win on the road against the Rams. Look for them to improve on that record following Thursday night's SU victory.

NFL Pick of the Day: Tennessee +145

Saturday's College Basketball "Best Bet"

 This Saturday's NCAAB betting board is filled with a number of great matchups. As part of my weekly coverage for Vegas Insider, my "best bet" pick of the day is a Big East battle between the Providence Friars and the No. 20 Connecticut Huskies.

Tip-off from the XL Center in Harford is set for 5 p.m. on FOX. This will be the conference opener for both teams with Providence boasting a straight-up 10-1 start while the Huskies bring a SU record of 9-2 into this game.

The Friars are averaging 70.9 points per game led by Nate Watson's team-high 15.3-point scoring average. They are holding opposing teams to 62.3 points a game. The Huskies dial things up a bit with 81.8 PPG. RJ Cole is the team's leader in scoring with 16.0 points a game. Connecticut has a points-allowed average of 62.1 through its first 11 games.

The Huskies are favored by 6.5 points at home with the total set at 137.

Notable Betting Trends:

The Friars are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games with the total staying UNDER in six of their last nine outings.

The Huskies have failed to cover in four of their last six games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games.

Head-to-head, the series is dead-even over the last 10 meetings at 5-5 both SU and ATS. The home team has won eight of the last nine matchups both SU and ATS. The total has gone OVER in three of the last five meetings.

"Best Bet" Pick:

My value play in this game is the OVER on the total line. Both teams should be able to get close to their scoring average on year to combine for more than 137 points.

Below is my complete game preview and betting pick as posted on Vegas Insider:

Providence Friars at Connecticut Huskies

BettingLiveDogs.com NFL Pick of the Day: Dallas at Washington

 The Dallas Cowboys burst out of the gate this season to a straight-up 6-1 start while the Washington Football Team only won two of their first eight games. Heading into Sunday's big NFC East showdown at FedEx Field, the 8-5 Cowboys are just two games in front of surging Washington at 6-6.

While Dallas is still a heavy -900 favorite to win the division title, an upset on Sunday would have a huge impact on those futures odds. You can get +750 odds on the Football Team in that same futures bet.

As my BettingLiveDogs.com upset pick of the day, I am taking Washington straight-up on the money line at +170. The series is tied 3-3 both SU and against the spread over the last six meetings. This includes a Washington sweep last season.

The Cowboys are 2-3 (SU and ATS) in their last five games while Washington is riding a four-game winning streak both SU and ATS. Anytime you can bet a hot team at home as an underdog, you have to jump all over that opportunity.

Olympic Legend Leads a Small Field of Five for Saturday's Los Alamitos Futurity

Earlier this week, I came up with my top three picks for this Saturday's Los Alamitos Futurity as part of my weekly coverage of horse racing for ScoresandStats.com. At the time, Horse Racing Nation had listed seven entries as probable.

My top choice was Pinehurst followed by Enbarr and Rhetoric. All three of these two-year old colts are trained by Bob Baffert. His horses have dominated this race, with a first place finish the past seven years in a row.

When the actual post positions were announced for the 2021 Los Alamitos Futurity, there were only five total entries in the field with none of these horses on the final list. That is rare but it does happen from time to time. 

Forced to reformulate my top three colts to finish in the money, here are my new picks for this race:

Win: Olympic Legend

Place: Messier

Show: Durante

Olympic Legend is trained by Luis Mendez. The two-year old Kentucky-bred colt will break from the No. 1 post with jockey Jose Valdivia Jr. getting the ride. The son of Street Boss place third in this year's ungraded Capote Stakes at Los Alamitos on Sept. 18.

Messier is one of two colts in the limited field trained by Baffert. Trainer Doug O'Neil has a pair of entries as well, including Durante. 

Both colts are coming off recent victories. Messier won the Grade 3 Bob Hope Stakes at Del Mar on Nov. 14. He covered the seven furlongs on dirt in 1:22.74 past Forbidden Kingdom and Winning Map. Durante won a one mile Maiden Special Weight race at Del Mar  that same day.

NFL Week 14 Top Bets on the Total Line

 Moving deep into the 2021 NFL regular season schedule, I have come up with this Sunday's five best bets on the total line. 

The following post with my five total line plays has been reprinted below through the permission of ScoresandStats.com where it was originally published.

Five OVER/UNDER Picks for NFL Week 14

Re-capping Sunday’s games in Week 13 of the NFL regular season, the total stayed UNDER in seven of the 12 contests. On the year, betting the UNDER has paid off in 56.8% of the NFL games played.

As weather becomes more of a factor in outdoor matchups this time of the year, solid plays on the UNDER become a bit easier to find. Going through all the NFL matchups on this Sunday’s schedule, here are my Top 5 plays on the total line.

Sunday, Dec. 12

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans: UNDER 44

The Jaguars have lost their last four games straight-up while scoring a grand total of 48 points. Tennessee is coming off its bye week after managing just 26 points combined in losses to Houston and New England.

The total has stayed UNDER in Jacksonville’s last seven games. It has also stayed UNDER in five of its last six games against an AFC team. Look for another low scoring grinder in this AFC South matchup.

Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs: UNDER 51.5

The Raiders came up short at home against Washington last Sunday 17-15 as slight 1.5-point favorites. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five games. Kansas City has won five games straight while not allowing more than 17 points in any of those SU victories.

Las Vegas has lost seven of its last eight road games against the Chiefs SU. The total has stayed UNDER in six of Kansas City’s last seven games overall. Look for KC’s defense to get the job done again this Sunday.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football Team: OVER 49

Dallas scored 27 points in last week’s road win against New Orleans. The Cowboys are averaging 29.4 points per game this year. Washington’s SU winning streak has reached four games with Sunday’s victory at Las Vegas.

This will be the first of two meetings in the NFC East rivalry over the next three weeks. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 10 meetings. The total has gone OVER in four of the Cowboys’ last five division games.

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: UNDER 42.5

The Ravens came up short against Pittsburgh their last time out heading into another key AFC North battle. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games. This includes a 16-10 victory at home against Cleveland on Nov. 28 with the total set at 47.5 points.

The total has stayed UNDER in four of the Browns’ last six games while going 3-3 SU. It has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games against Baltimore. The total has also stayed UNDER in four of Cleveland’s last five home games.

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: UNDER 43

The Falcons have lost four of their last six games SU with the total staying UNDER in five of those six games. This slide includes a 19-13 loss to Carolina as 2.5-point home favorites on Oct. 31. The total stayed UNDER 46.5 points.

The total has now stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 meetings between these two NFC South foes. It has stayed UNDER in seven of the Panthers’ last eight home games against the Falcons.