Saturday, May 7, 2016

2016 Kentucky Derby Top Prop Picks

Everyone loves to bet on the Kentucky Derby, but picking a straight-up winner for this Saturday's race could be tough to do given the depth of talent in the 20-horse field. You have Nyquist as a 3/1 favorite and Exaggerator at 8/1 odds as the top two choices on the opening morning line. A few of the other top contenders to win include Gun Runner,Mohaymen and Creator all listed at 10/1 followed by Mor Spirit and Brody's Cause at 12/1 odds. Any of these seven horses have already proven to be more than capable of winning a Kentucky Derby and there are even a few more three-year olds in the field that have what it takes to pull-off an upset.

One of the best way to hedge your bets in a crowded race like this is to wager some of your bankroll on a number of different prop bets that have been released in conjunction with this race. I went to Bovada Sportsbook and after going through an extensive list of betting options I found a trio of Kentucky Derby props that have a great chance to payoff. Follow the link below to this week's "best bet" prop picks for Doc's Sports to find my Kentucky Derby picks.

LINK: 2016 Kentucky Derby Odds: Best Props with Expert Betting Picks

Friday, May 6, 2016

2016 Kentucky Derby Win-Place-Show Free Picks

I have been following this year's crop of top three-year old thoroughbreds since early last summer when they were just starting their racing career as juveniles. This Saturday at Churchill Downs, one of the top 20 horses in this group will take the next big step towards greatness with a win in the 142nd Kentucky Derby. This is horse racing's biggest single betting event of the year and this year's field is shaping-up to be one of the most competitive in recent memory.

I am two-for-two in my winning picks for the last two "Run for the Roses", but in all fairness, California Chrome in 2014 and American Pharoah last year went off as prohibitive favorites. This year things are a bit different with Nyquist listed as a 3/1 favorite on the morning line followed by Exaggerator as an 8/1 second favorite. Next on the list is a trio of horses at 10/1 betting odds that includes Mohaymen, Gun Runner and Creator to round-out the top five horses in the field. Moving down the list, you also have quality contenders in trainer Bob Baffert's Mor Spirit at 12/1 and a pair of Todd Pletcher-trained horses in Outwork and Destin at 15/1 odds to win.

As part of my horse racing picks for SportsBettingStats.com, I have thoroughly handicapped the entire 20-horse field to come-up with my top choices to win, show and place in Saturday's race. I also have my eye on a 20/1 longshot that could be poised to upset the field at Churchill Downs. Below is the link to the article.

LINK:Free 2016 Kentucky Derby Horse Racing Picks

Monday, May 2, 2016

This Week's Insiders Sports Betting Tips

This week's insider sports betting tips for Doc's Sports run the gambit from the NBA Playoffs to Tuesday's Republican primary in Indiana. Diversity can be the spice of life when it comes to betting on sports, entertainment or political props as long as you can create a winning edge against the books. Many times the odds that are released for betting events that are not necessarily a mainstream can be softer than the sharp lines that are normally in place for professional leagues such as the NFL or NBA. If the insider information confirms a play one way or the other then this could present itself as a golden opportunity for a high unit play. The following link is this week's betting tips with an inside edge.

LINK: All-Sports Expert Betting Tips to Help Win Cash this Week

Saturday, April 30, 2016

NFL Draft First Round Winning Player Props

Leading up to the start of this year's NFL Draft, BetOnline released its betting odds for a number of different props in conjunction with the three-day proceedings in Chicago. Three of the most popular player props for Thursday's draft picks in the first round had to do with how many quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers would be chosen that night.

The "over/under" on quarterbacks had a very risky -1500 for OVER 2.5 while the moneyline odds for UNDER 2.5 were set at +800. We all knew that Jared Goff and Carson Wentz were going No. 1 and No. 2 so the big question was when would Paxton Lynch come off the board? Many draft experts had the New York taking him at No. 20, but he ended up going to Denver at 26th after the Broncos decided to move down to get their quarterback of the future. I rolled the dice on a very risky moneyline bet and it paid off.

The betting odds for how many running backs would be taken in the first round were set at +350 for OVER 1.5 and at -500 for the UNDER. Once again, we knew that Ezekiel Elliott was a lock to go on Thursday night and he came off the board to Dallas at No. 4. The next highest graded back in the draft was Derrick Henry, out of Alabama.

NFL general managers and head coaches are reluctant to use a first round pick on a running back given their short shelf life in the league, but I thought that Henry might be an exception to the rule given his overall strength,size and ability. I also rolled the dice that Carolina would take him with the 30th pick of the first round, but I lost that bet when he stayed on the board until Tennessee drafted him with the 14th pick of the second round (45th overall).

My third NFL Draft player prop bet on Thursday night was the over/under on how many wide receivers would be taken in the first round. The betting odds for this prop had a +120 moneyline for OVER 3.5 and the odds for a play on the UNDER were -150. This pick got a bit tricky since the first wide receiver in this year's draft class was not expected to come off the board until the second half of the opening round.

That prediction proved to be correct with Cleveland selecting Corey Coleman at No. 15. There were three other wide receivers considered to be first round material and the floodgates opened from there with Will Fuller going to Houston at No. 21 and Washington taking Josh Doctson with the very next pick. Closing out the trifecta to bring home the money in this prop was Minnesota selecting Laquon Treadwell at No. 23.

Top Kentucky Derby Favorite, Contender and Longshot Picks

We are still over a week away from this year's Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs, but after going through the projected field for the annual "Run for the Roses" the first Saturday in May, I have uncovered three horses that I like as my top favorite, top contender and top longshot to win this race based on the updated futures odds at BetOnline Sportsbook.

The actual morning line odds for the 2016 Kentucky Derby will not be released until next Wednesday when the post positions for the race are set so any bets placed on futures are still very speculative in nature, but all three of these three-year old thoroughbreds offer some solid value in the current numbers. As part of my weekly horse racing betting report for SBR Picks contained in the link below, I will go into detail on why each of these horses could be worth a small play right now on the Kentucky Derby futures line.

LINK:Horse Racing Betting Report - Kentucky Derby Early Picks

Saturday, April 23, 2016

NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting Preview: Toyota Owners 400

NASCAR is in my home state this week for the running of Sunday's Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond International Raceway. Kyle Busch has already won twice this season and he comes into this race as a +450 favorite to add a third checkered flag to his resume. I have my sights set on Kevin Harvick and his +600 betting odds to win this race as my top-valued favorite and I also like Brad Keselowski at +1000 as my top-valued contender. Each and every week of the NASCAR Sprint Cup season I cover the races for SBR Picks and I have included a link below to this week's complete betting preview.

LINK: NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting Preview: Toyota Owners 400

Friday, April 22, 2016

2016 Kentucky Derby Futures Update

The Kentucky Derby is the biggest horse race of the year and with an expanded field of up to 20 three-year old thoroughbreds it can also be one of the toughest races to handicap. Do not let American Pharoah's dominant performance last season in this race leading to a very rare Triple Crown title fool you. The quality and depth of the field in a major stakes race like this often times give three or maybe even four horses a legitimate shot to win.

We are still two weeks out from this year's "Run for the Roses" at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 7, so there is still plenty of time to handicap the final field, but a great starting point is to take a quick look at the recently updated futures odds to win. Nyquist is currently the favorite and this three-year old Kentucky-bred should remain at the top of the list when the actual morning line odds are released a few days before the race. A few other of the top contenders on BetOnline's Kentucky Derby futures list include Exaggerator, Mor Spirit and Destin. For a closer look at these four horses as well as a few others on the list check-out the link below for my full Kentucky Derby futures update on SBR Forum.

LINK: 2016 Kentucky Derby Futures Update