Friday, March 31, 2023

The Three NBA Superstars' Odds for MVP

The three NBA players remaining on the current betting odds for the *Most Valuable Player are:

Joel Embiid at -110

Nikola Jokic at +120

Giannis Antetokounmpo at +650

*Posted by BetOnline.ag


Taking a look at the current situation for these three players ( and being a die-hard Philadelphia fan), Joel Embiid will win the MVP in the NBA according to my book. There are 100 voters that will make it official, but Embiid is the odds-on favorite of the three superstars.  



Thursday, March 30, 2023

Saturday's Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park

 

Of the 12 entries in Saturday’s Florida Derby, there are five horses with morning line odds along with my percentage to win the race.

Forte (4-5 Odds)

Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by jockey Irad Ortiz Jr., this Kentucky-bred colt is starting at No. 11 for this race. He is also starting at the odd-on favorite after winning his last four races in his two-year-old and three-year-old career. Forte finished first as a three-year-old in the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream Park on March 4. He raced at Belmont Park, Saratoga and Keeneland as a juvenile.

Sired by Violence, Forte was bred to go more than a mile on dirt and win this race. He is the early favorite to win the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs.

Winning Percentage: 70%

Fort Bragg (5-1 Odds)

As a son of Tapit, he finished a disappointing fifth in the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita Park in his last race as a three-year-old. However, Fort Bragg finishing in the money as a juvenile in all four events at Del Mar, Santa Anita and Los Alamitos Race Course. He placed third in the Grade 2 Los Alamitos Futurity on Dec. 17 to end his two-year career.

Fort Bragg has raced 1 1/16 miles on dirt in last three events and he could step-up in distance and class this Saturday at Gulfstream if the breaks fall his way.

Winning Percentage: 5%

Dubyuhnell (6-1 Odds)

Trained by Danny Gargan, he is breaking outside from No. 12 gate with Jose Ortiz as his jockey. Dubyuhnell finished eight in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs on Feb. 11 in his debut as a three-year-old, so the path for success in the Grade 1 Florida Derby is unclear. He finished first in his last two races as a juvenile.

Dubyuhnell has raced competitively for West Paces Racing, LLC and Stonestreet Stables, LLC. Sired by Good Magic, he was bred to go more than a mile on dirt.

Winning Percentage: 5%

Cyclone Mischief (8-1 Odds)

As a son of Into Mischief, he placed third in the Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream after Forte and Rocket Can. Cyclone Mischief had his last three races at Gulfstream as a three-year-old colt. He completed his two-year career at Churchill Downs and Keenland while being bred in Kentucky.

Trained by Dale Romans, Cyclone Mischief has enough experience at Gulfstream to finish in the money in this race.

Winning Percentage: 15%

Mage (10-1 Odds)

As a live longshot on the morning line in this race, Mage finished fourth in the Fountain of Youth Stakes in early March. He is trained by Gustavo Delgado and ridden by jockey Luis Saez out of the No. 4 gate. Mage has races at Gulfstream in two races as a three-year-old colt in his only competitive events.

Also sired by Good Magic, he also has home-track advantage in the Florida Derby with his familiarity at Gulfstream.

Winning Percentage: 5%


Previously posted at Doc's Sports Service

 

Tuesday, March 28, 2023

NYRA has Belmont Park Renovation Plans Approved

Renovation plans for Belmont Park have been approved by the New York State Franchise Oversight Board. The new edition at Belmont is a one-mile synthetic horse track to join the main dirt course and two other turf tracks. The last time that Belmont Park was improved took place in 1968. 

NYRA also plans to build dorms at both Belmont Park and Saratoga as part of improvement project. Belmont Park is home to the Belmont Stakes in early June. The longer stakes race is the final event of the Triple Crown that includes the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs and the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course.

Doc's Sports Service has all the details in the post New York Racing Association has Plans to Renovate Belmont Parks. 

Thursday, March 23, 2023

My Picks for the 2023 NCAA Tournament Final Four

East Region

Tennessee +125

Michigan State +280

Kansas State +375

Florida Atlantic +450

South Region

Alabama -140

Creighton +180

San Diego State +650

Princeton +2800

Midwest Region

Houston -105

Texas +195

Xavier +600

Miami (FLA) +800\

West Region

Connecticut +190

UCLA +225

Gonzaga +225

Arkansas +575


Previously posted on BetOnline.ag



MLB Divisional Futures Odds

American League East

New York Yankees +115

Toronto Blue Jays +205

Tampa Bay Rays +375

Baltimore Orioles +1200

Boston Red Sox +1200


American League Central

Cleveland Guardians +140

Minnesota Twins +180

Chicago White Sox +240

Detroit Tigers +2000

Kansas City Royals +2500


American League West

Houston Astros -200

Seattle Mariners +300

Los Angeles  Angels +750

Texas Rangers +750

Oakland Athletics +8000


National League East

Atlanta Braves -110

New York Mets +150

Philadelphia Phillies +385

Miami Marlins +4000

Washington Nationals +20000


National League Central

St. Louis Cardinals -130

Milwaukee Brewers +175

Chicago Cubs +450

Cincinnati Reds +5000

Pittsburgh Pirates +5000


National League West

Los Angeles Dodgers +100

San Diego Padres +100

San Francisco Giants +800

Arizona Diambacks +3300

Colorado Rockies +6600


Previously posted on BetOnline.ag


Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Saturday's Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds

 

I came up with five horses to keep a close eye in the Louisiana Derby with morning line odds at Fair Grounds and my percentage to win.

Instant Coffee (2-1)

Trained by Brad Cox and ridden by Luis Saez, he is breaking out of the No. 2 gate for the Louisiana Derby. His three-year debut was a victory at Fair Grounds in the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes on Jan. 21. As a son of Tapit, he covered 1 1/16 miles on dirt in 1:45.12 in front of Two Phils and Confidence Game.

Instant Coffee was bred in Kentucky and he has raced for Gold Square, LLC. He went 1 1/16 miles on dirt in his last three competitive events at Keeneland, Churchill Downs and Fair Grounds.

Winning Percentage: 55%

Sun Thunder (5-1)

Sired by Into Mischief, the Kentucky-bred colt placed second in the Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds on Feb. 18. He finished fourth in the Grade 3 Southwest Stakes on Jan. 21 at Oaklawn Park prior to that. Sun Thunder is trained by Kenneth McPeek and he is starting in this race at No. 4 with jockey Brian Hernandez Jr.

He covered at least one mile on dirt in this previous three races at Oaklawn Park and Fair Grounds. However, Sun Thunder is overpriced in his 5-1 odds on the morning line at the Louisiana Derby.

Winning Percentage: 5%

Kingsbarns (6-1)

After not competing as a two-year old, Kingsbarns went two-to-two with pair of first place finishes in a one-mile Allowance race at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 14 and 1 miles and 40 yards in a Maiden Special Weight race at Tampa Bay Downs on Feb. 12. He is trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by jockey Flavien Prat at the No. 6 gate in the Louisiana Derby.

Kingsbarns is upgrading the distance and grade for this race. However, his pedigree of Uncle Mo going back to Indian Charlie sets up well in the backstretch.

Winning Percentage: 20%

Tapit’s Conquest (10-1)

This Kentucky-bred colt is also trained by Brad Cox and he raced at Saratoga, Churchill Downs and Fair Grounds. He finished second at Fairs Grounds in a 1 1/16 miles Allowance race on Jan. 21 before placing fourth in the Grade 2 Risen Star on Feb. 18 at this same horse track. At least I could say that Tapit’s Conquest has home track advantage at Fair Grounds.

He is starting the Louisiana Derby at No. 9 with jockey Manuel Franco getting the ride. As the son of Tapit, he has the potential to finish in the money in this race.

Winning Percentage: 15%

Shopper’s Revenge (12-1)

Starting at No. 1 gate with Ricardo Santana as his jockey, Shopper’s Revenge is long odds on the morning line for the Louisiana Derby. He is trained by Steve Asmussen and he has a rating of 5.89 for Horse Racing Nation. As a three-year old colt, Shopper’s Revenge finished second in a 1 1/16-mile Allowance race at Oaklawn on Feb. 18 after the winner Airtime. He won a 1 1//16 Maiden Special Weight at this track on Jan. 14 of this year.

Sired by Tapit, he is a live longshot to make some noise in the backstretch of this race, but he will probably finish second or third if breaks fall his way.

Winning Percentage: 5%

Previously posted at Doc' Sports Service

 

 

 

Tuesday, March 21, 2023

State-by-State Sports Betting Rules for College Sports

There are 35 states that have legalized sports betting in the US. While professional sports betting is basically the same across these 35 markets, college sports betting is broken down into three categories.

There are 16 states where you can bet college games and props bets. There are seven states where you can bet on college games but it is illegal to bet on college props for in-state teams. In these other 12 states, it is illegal to bet in-state college games and prop bets (Oregon has no college games and prop bets in its border).

Doc's Sports Service has the full details in the post The Rules for College Sports Betting State-by-State in the US.

Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Major Kentucky Derby Preps

 Here are the major Kentucky Derby prep races March 25 till April 8

March 25 - Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds Race Course

April 1 - Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park

April 1 - Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park

April 8 - Wood Memorial Stakes at Aqueduct Racetrack

April 8 - Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland Racing Course

April 8 - Santa Anita Derby at Santa Anita Park



The $100,000 Hutcheson Stakes This Saturday at Gulfstream Park

 

Saturday, March 18

The Hutcheson Stakes – Gulfstream Park

Win: Two of a Kind

This three-year old colt is starting at the No. 4 gate with jockey Joel Rosario. Trained by Brian Lynch, Two of a Kind has raced at Churchill Downs, Belmont Park and Gulfstream Park. He finished third in the Swale Stakes at Gulfstream on Feb. 4 this year. He took third place earlier in January at Gulfstream in the 2023 Limehouse Stakes.

As a son of Overanalyze, Two of a Kind has competed in sprints on dirt in his four races as a two-year old and three-year colt. He has raced for K and R Racing Stable and Town Branch Racing being bred in Kentucky.

Place: Super Chow

Trained by Jorge Delgado and ridden by jockey Chantal Sutherland, this Kentucky-bred colt is breaking at the No. 3 gate in the Hutcheson Stakes. Super Chow finished second in the Swale Stakes after a first place finish in the Limehouse Stakes at Gulfstream. He covered six furlongs on dirt in 1:09.88 over Turbo and Two of a Kind.

He has placed first, second or third in seven races of his early career. Super Chow is a son of Lord Nelson with a pedigree going back to AP Indy. He has competed in sprints on dirt while racing for Lea Farms, LLC. Super Chow has raced at Florida tracks (Tampa Bay Downs and Gulfstream Park) his last three times.

Show: Live Is Life

He is also trained by Jorge Delgado and he raced at Gulfstream Park through his two-year and three-year career. Live Is Life starts at the No. 5 gate in this race with Leonel Reyes as his jockey. He finished third behind Tapit Trice and Shesterkin in an Allowance on Feb. 4.

Live Is Life finished in the money in six of eight races at Gulfstream both on dirt and on turf. Sired by West Coast, he went one mile and 1 mile and 70 yards in his last five competitive races at this South Florida horse track.

Previously posted on ScoresandStats.com


Tuesday, March 14, 2023

My Sweet 16 for the Men's NCAA Tournament

South Region

No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 5 San Diego State

No. 2 Arizona vs. No. 3 Baylor

East Region

No. 1 Purdue vs. No. 4 Tennessee

No. 3 Kansas State vs. No. 7 Michigan State

Midwest Region

No. 1 Houston vs. No. 5 Miami

No. 6 Iowa State vs. No. 7 Texas A&M

West Region

No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 4 Connecticut

No. 3 Gonzaga vs. No. 10 Boise State


Monday, March 13, 2023

Massachusetts Sportsbooks Launch Legal Online Sports Betting

On Friday, March 10, six in-state sportsbooks launched online sports betting to complement their retail sports betting at land-based casinos on Jan. 31 of this year.

DraftKings is the only Boston-based sportsbook of the six sports betting sites that has gone live this Friday. The other five sport betting sites were Barstool Sportsbook, BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, FanDuel and WynnBET. The four sportsbooks that were approved but still are a few months behind schedule are Bally Bet, Betr, Betway and Fanatics Sportsbook.

FanDuel has inked a partnership with the Boston Bruins as part of the deal to take bets online in the Bay State. The Bruins recently announced that FanDuel is the Official Sports Betting Partner on the team.

Doc's Sport Service has full detailed in its recent post Massachusetts' Six Online Sportsbooks Launch Legal Sports Betting.

Thursday, March 9, 2023

My Early Five Picks to Win the 2023 Kentucky Derby

1) Forte +400

He won this last race as a two-year old in the 2022 Breeders' Cup Juvenile on Nov. 4 and he placed first in the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes on March 11 of this year at Gulfstream Park.

2) Instant Coffee +1800

As a three-year old, the Kentucky-bred colt won in late January at Fair Grounds Race Course in the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes. He is scheduled to appear in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby on March 25.

3) Red Route One +2800

After a pair of second place finishes at Oaklawn Park this winter as this three-year colt, he is also headed to the Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds. He has covered 1 1/16 miles on dirt in six of seven races in his early career. 

4) Rocket Can +3300

He was 8-1 on the morning line odds of the Fountain of Youth Stakes and he took second after Forte. Sired by Into Mischief, he went 1 1/16 miles in his last four races at Churchill Downs and Gulfstream Park.

5) Hit Show +5000

He was first at Aqueduct in the Grade 3 Withers Stakes on Feb.11 as a three-year old. Trained by Brad Cox and ridden by jockey Manuel Franco, the son of Candy Ride is listed as a probable entry for the Grade 2 Wood Memorial also at Aqueduct on April 8.

Previously posted by BetOnline.ag



The Top 10 Players' Odds to Win the 2023 Masters Tournament

Jon Rahm +650

Rory McIlroy +850

Scottie Scheffler +1100

Cameron Smith +1400

Jordan Spieth +1800

Max Homa +2000

Collin Morikawa +2200

Patrick Cantlay +2200

Xander Schauffele +2200

Will Zalatoris +2200

Posted by BetOnline.ag



The $400,000 Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs

 

Saturday, March 11

Tampa Bay Derby – Tampa Bay Downs

Win: Tapit Trice

The three-year was bred in Kentucky and raced for Whisper Hill Farm, LLC and Gainesway Stable. He competed at Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park and won a one mile Allowance race at Gulfstream on Feb. 4 this year. The son of Tapit posted a time for 1:36.44 over Shesterkin and Live Is Life.

Tapit Trice has gone a mile in three races in his early career. He is stepping up in distance and grade in the Grade 3 Tampa Bay Derby. However, he was bred to go plus a mile on dirt. Trained by Todd Pletcher, Tapit Trice has worked out at Tampa Bay Downs over the past few weeks.

Place: Shesterkin

Sired by Violence, this three-year colt was also bred in Kentucky and trained by Todd Pletcher. Shesterkin finished first at Gulfstream Park in late December in his last race as a two-year old. He covered a seven-furlong sprint in 1:24.18 past Case and Kentucky Joke.

At Gulfstream as a three-year old colt, Shesterkin place second in that Allowance race on Feb. 4. He is also stepping up in distance and grade in the Tampa Bay Derby with a 6.59 rating by Horse Racing Nation.

Show: Classic Legacy

Trained by William Mott, he finished fourth in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes last time out at Tampa Bay Downs on Feb. 11. As a two-year old Thoroughbred, he raced at New York horse tracks including Belmont Park, Saratoga and Aqueduct. Classic Legacy won the seven-furlong sprint at Aqueduct on Dec. 31 of last year.

As a son of Into Mischief, he went 1 1/16 miles on dirt in his first competitive outing at Tampa Bay and his home-track advantage should get him into the money in this major graded stakes race. Classic Legacy has worked out at this track since the beginning of last month.

Previously posted on ScoresandStats..com

Tuesday, March 7, 2023

DraftKings' Odds to Win the Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament

DraftKings' odds to win the NCAA Tournament for men's basketball has taken shape with 85 Division 1 teams making the list. 

The Houston Cougars are the first team out of the box with +550 odds as favorites to win. The Cougars are representing the American Athletic Conference (AAC). The SEC's Alabama Crimson Tide and the Big 12's Kansas Jayhawks are +800 second-favorites to win with the Pac-12 UCLA Bruins (+900) and the Big Ten's Purdue Boilermakers (+1100) rounding out the top five teams in the 2023 NCAA Tournament.

Doc's Sports Service takes a closer look at all the college basketball teams that are first on the list in posting DraftKings' Odds for the Top 10 Teams in College Basketball's NCAA Tournament.

Thursday, March 2, 2023

NASCAR Cup Series Futures Odds

 Here are the futures odds for NASCAR's 2023 Cup Series Championship

Chase Elliott +550

Kyle Larson +700

Kyle Busch +700

Denny Hamlin +800

Ryan Blaney +1000

Joey Logano +1000

Ross Chastain +1000

William Byron +1200

Christopher Bell +1200

Martin Truex Jr. +1400

Kevin Harnick +1600

Tyler Reddick +2000

Alex Bowman +2500

Chase Briscoe +4000

Daniel Suarez +4000

Bubba Wallace Jr. +4000

Austin Cindric +5000

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +5000

Brad Keselowski +6600

Ryan Preece +6600

Ty Gibbs +6600

Erik Jones +10000

Chris Buescher +10000

Noah Gragson +10000

AJ Allmendinger +10000

Austin Dillon +15000

Justin Haley +20000

Aric Almirola +20000

Harrison Burton +30000

Michael McDowell +30000

Todd Gilliland +50000

Corey Lajoie +50000

Cody Ware +50000

Ty Dillon +50000

BJ McLeod +50000


Posted by BetOnline.ag







Wednesday, March 1, 2023

Saturday's $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park

 

The Fountain of Youth Stakes is open to three-year old thoroughbred as part of the Kentucky Derby Trail. There are 10 entries in this race and my top five contenders have morning line odds and percentages to win.

Forte (7-5)

Currently the early favorite to win the 2023 Kentucky Derby, Forte is making a three-year debut in the Fountain of Youth Stakes with Todd Pletcher as his trainer and Irad Ortiz Jr. as his jockey. He won his last three Grade 1 events as a juvenile, starting with a victory in the Hopeful Stakes at Saratoga on Sept. 5.

Forte won the 2022 Breeders’ Futurity on Oct. 8 before taking first place in Breeders’ Cup Juvenile on Nov. 4. He covered 1 1/16 miles on dirt in 1:43.06 over Cave Rock and National Treasure in the BC Juvenile. Bred in Kentucky, these Grade 1 stakes were at Keeneland.

Odds of Winning: 65%

Blazing Sevens (7-2)

Trained by Chad Brown, he is starting at No. 6 for his race with jockey Joel Rosario. Blazing Sevens is another Kentucky-bred colt starting out his three-year career in the Fountain of Youth Stakes. He finished fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile after winning the nongraded Champagne Stakes at Aqueduct on Oct. 1.

As a son of Good Magic, Blazing Sevens was bred to go over a mile on dirt in a major graded event and he should finish in the money in this race.

Odds of Winning: 10%

General Jim (6-1)

In the 2023 Swale Stakes, General Jim placed first with a time of 1:23.34 over Super Chow and Two of a Kind. He has raced at Saratoga, Keeneland, Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park. Trained by Claude “Shug” McGaughey, he is ridden by jockey Luis Saez out of the No. 1 gate in this race.

General Jim has gone over a mile on turf and won. However, his mixed results on dirt is a sticking point in the Fountain of Youth.

Odds of Winning: 5%

Rocket Can (8-1)

At Gulfstream Park as a three-year old, Rocket Can won the Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes on Feb. 4. He has finished first or second in his last three races going back to a 1 1/16-mile Maiden Special Weight race at Churchill Downs on Oct. 30 in 2022. As a sire of Into Mischief, he went more than a mile on dirt in all three races.

Rocket Can is probably not going to win the Fountain of Youth. However, he could place second or third in the standings.

Odds of Winning: 15%

Shadow Dragon (12-1)

The New York-bred colt finished second in the Holy Bull Stakes in the beginning of last month at Gulfstream Park. Also trained by William Mott and ridden by jockey Jose Ortiz, Shadow Dragon has good odds as a longshot in this race. He is starting at the No. 3 gate and a clean break could result in a top three finish.

Odds of Winning: 5%

Previously post at Doc's Sports Service