Saturday, May 30, 2020

NASCAR's Cup Series Heads to Bristol With Kyle Busch Favored to Win

NASCAR's Cup Series is back in a big way after running four events at Darlington and Charlotte over the past two weeks. This Sunday, the series heads to Bristol Speedway for the Supermarket Heroes 500.

Some of the sport's biggest names have made their way to the Winners Circle during this four-race run including former Cup Series champions' Kevin Harvick and Brad Keselowski. The hottest driver right now is Chase Elliott and the No. 9 Chevrolet. He blew a chance to win the Coca-Cola 600 a week ago but rebounded with a victory at Charlotte this past Thursday.

Two other drivers to watch this Sunday are Denny Hamlin and Joey Logano. They are the only two Cup Series drivers with a pair of point race wins this season.

Betting on the race at America's Bookie as a top-rated online sportsbook for NASCAR action, Kyle Busch tops the list as a +350 favorite. The No. 18 Toyota has finished inside the Top 5 in four of eight events this season but the team is still looking for their first point race victory.

This could be the week this team gets that first win with Busch boasting an impressive track record at Sunday's racing venue. Over the course of his Cup Series career which started back in 2005, he has posted eight victories at Bristol including his win in this event last season. His average finishing position at the short track oval is a pedestrian 13.4 but Busch has also won three of his last five Cup Series races here.

The betting odds for the top five drivers are:

1) Kyle Busch +350
2) Martin Truex Jr. +650
3) Kevin Harvick +750
4) Joey Logano +750
5) Chase Elliott +800

I am going chalk with Busch but there is quite a bit of value in Elliott coming off Thursday's win. He would make a good Top 3 bet as well as any head-to-head matchups at plus money.

Friday, May 22, 2020

Are The Cowboys Overvalued by Oddsmakers?

America's Team has been getting the benefit of the doubt for a number of years. The Dallas Cowboys have not won a Super Bowl title since 1995. Since that point, they have failed to advance past the Divisional Round of the playoffs in 10 trips to the postseason over the span of the past 24 NFL seasons. Yet, the Cowboys remain one of the most popular sports franchise in the nation.

Team owner Jerry Jones finally parted ways with Jason Garrett as the head coach of Dallas after a 10-year run. Former Green Bay head coach Mike McCarthy takes over the reins heading into the 2020 season and once again expectations are running high in Big D. They will open the season on the road against the Los Angeles Rams as 2.5-point favorites on the opening line out of Las Vegas.

Dallas is a slight +110 favorite to win the NFC East over the Philadelphia Eagles (+115). The Cowboys' odds to win the 2020 NFC Championship at America's Bookie online sportsbook are set at +1000 which is fourth on the list after San Francisco, New Orleans and Tampa Bay. Moving to the NFL futures odds to win Super Bowl LV, they are sixth on that list at +2000.

The Cowboys' projected win total is 9.5 with the odds favoring the OVER at -155. Since 2010, they have won at least 10 games a grand total of three times. The odds they make the playoffs are set at -200 coming off an 8-8 record last season. McCarthy had a fairly successful run in Green Bay but the bar is raise a bit too high heading into his first season at the helm.

The overall popularity of the team has more to do with those lofty odds than its actual chance to make good on any of those bets. Most sports bettors are creatures of habit by nature. They tend to bet their money on what they want to happen as opposed to relying on stats, facts and past betting trends. All the sportsbooks know this and they set the betting odds accordingly.

At this point in the offseason given the additions and losses to the Cowboys' overall roster, they set themselves as a great team to fade when Week 1 rolls around against the Rams. The UNDER on 9.5 wins at +125 is a value play and I love the plus money at +170 odds to miss the playoffs. Just because you want something to happen does not mean it will.

Can The Dallas Cowboys Live Up To The Sportsbook Betting Hype?

Saturday, May 16, 2020

NASCAR's Cup Series Return to Betting Action at Darlington

NASCAR's last Cup Series race was on March 8 at Ism Raceway in Phoenix with Joey Logano winning his second point race of the season. Kevin Harvick took second and Kyle Busch rounded out the Top 3. Flash forward more than two months later and the series is gearing up for a restart this Sunday at Darlington Raceway.

Driving the signature No. 18 Toyota, Busch has been opened as a +550 favorite to win the Real Heroes 400. The reining Cup Series champ is looking for his first victory this season with four point races in the book. Denny Hamlin is a +650 second-favorite followed by Harvick at +700.

One of the best ways to bet on any NASCAR Cup Series race at an online sportsbook such as America's Bookie is head-to-head matchups. The driver you bet on does not have to win or even finish in the Top 10. They just have finish in a higher position than the driver they are pitted against in the final running order.

Here are my three 'best bet' picks for this Sunday's top matchups:


Take Kevin Harvick (+145) over Kyle Busch (-115)

Take Chase Elliott (-110) over Martin Truex Jr. (-120)

Take Jimmie Johnson (-115) over Kurt Busch (-115)


Saturday, May 2, 2020

Going Chalk in Both Arkansas Derby Divisions

When it comes to horse racing, the first Saturday in May is all about Churchill Downs and the running of the Kentucky Derby. With the world turned upside down these days, the biggest betting race of the year had to be moved to the first Saturday in September because of the coronavirus. Fortunately, Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas is helping to fill that huge void with the running of two divisions of this year's $1 million Arkansas Derby.

The Grade 1 Arkansas Derby is usually run in early April as the last big prep race ahead of the Kentucky Derby. This year it was pushed back to May 2 as part of a full card at Oaklawn. Interest in this race from the best trainers in the game pushed the entry list to 22 three-year old thoroughbreds. To accommodate that many entries, the race was divided into two divisions with 11 contenders in each run.

Since that point, two horses from each division have been scratched to reduce the field to nine for each race. In Division 1, famed trainer Bob Baffert's Charlatan is a 1/1 favorite on the morning line. Todd Pletcher's Gouverneur Morris is second on the list at 9/2 odds. The rest of the field has a few interesting choices. However, this presents the perfect opportunity to go chalk with an exacta play.

Baffert will be going for the sweep in the next division with Nadal as a the 5/2 favorite. This would be my pick as well after this Kentucky-bred colt won the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn in March. Wells Bayou will start from the No. 9 post as a 7/2 second-favorite but my second choice is Storm The Court at 6/1 odds.

Arkansas Derby Division 1

Win: Charlatan
Place: Gouverneur Morris
Show: Shooter's Shoot


Arkansas Derby Division 2

Win: Nadal
Place: Storm The Court
Show: Wells Bayou



LINK: Triple Play at Oaklawn Park, Highlighted By 2020 Arkansas Derby